He is Zeng Guofan's staff. Why did he assert that the Qing Dynasty would not live for fifty years?

Because Zhao Liewen knew that the Qing Dynasty was rotten from the root and the superficial prosperity was only an illusion, he asserted that the Qing Dynasty would not live for fifty years. We all know that the Westernization Movement was carried out in the Qing Dynasty under the leadership of Li Hongzhang and Zeng Guofan, and this change also brought stability to the Qing Dynasty. But another man asserted that the Qing Dynasty was extinct in less than fifty years, and the facts also verified his assertion. The person who said these words was Zhao Liewen of the Qing Dynasty.

At that time, the imperial examination system was also implemented. However, due to various restrictions, many talented people can't go to high school, so they turn to be assistants of various officials, and Zhao Liewen is one of them. On the recommendation of some people, Zhao Liewen joined Zeng Guofan's staff and became the staff. Finally, he even became a disciple of Zeng Guofan.

At that time, the people of the Qing Dynasty lived in poverty, and even the capital had beggars and refugees in rags. This is also the theme of Zhao Liewen's conversation with Zeng Guofan. And those words were only said when discussing with Zeng Guofan. Because he thinks that the Qing Dynasty should fall apart, and this time will not exceed fifty years. As a loyal minister of the Qing Dynasty, Zeng Guofan still had a glimmer of hope and was not so pessimistic.

But Zhao Liewen doesn't think so. He felt that the Qing Dynasty could not even move south to survive like the Song Dynasty. What happened later just confirmed what he said. The outbreak of the Revolution of 1911 completely ended his rule in the Qing Dynasty, and also plunged China into a terrible situation of warlord scuffle. I have to say that Zhao Liewen's remarks were indeed very accurate, but in the eyes of people at that time, it was a very unyielding discourse. Once these words were leaked out at that time, it was the great sin that Jiuzu was waiting for Zhao Liewen to punish.