Is the constellation related to fate?

Throw away the fortune-telling card and ignore the astrological column. They are the products of swindlers. Those absurd words have ruled as the emperor of thought for too long. Take a good look, the emperor is naked! -james randi Despite the visual problems and the interference of urban pollution, I still think nothing is more beautiful than the starry sky. Looking up at the starry sky, human beings weave myths and poems, sail to the unknown continent and reveal the true picture of the universe we live in. Accompanied by the starry sky is astrology, an outdated superstition. Astrology and primitive astronomy came into being together. After thousands of years as conjoined twins, when Galileo aimed his telescope at the sky, he was separated and went to two diametrically opposite roads: mystery and demonstration. Nowadays, astronomy seems to take our eyes tens of billions of light years away. In contrast, astrology, which has made no progress except learning nondescript combinations, has never died out. In this network era, fast-food astrology is flooding many websites, just like a "high-tech" style. "Want to know today's fortune? Want to know who your true lover is? Come on, with a few mouse clicks, all the predictions will appear in front of you. " The popularity of this seemingly harmless magic method is by no means a good thing, which means that people are more willing to believe in mysterious things and thus lack the spirit of doubt. We are human beings, we look forward to happiness, love, fear of all unfortunate possibilities in the future, and are eager to be valued by fate. These insurmountable weaknesses make superstition even more acceptable than science. However, it is contradictory to be superstitious about yourself: a constellation expert on a website suggested that I break off my relationship today, and another suggested that I give each other a sense of security today! Sagittarius is blessed without a couple, and it won't feel at a loss-God knows how these nonsense are made up casually. So, now let me tell you the truth about the constellation. The myth of sky astrology is a pseudoscience. It is a method to predict secular affairs, and its theoretical basis is that celestial bodies can determine or express the changes of the world in some way. This is the definition of astrology given by the British Encyclopedia. Astrology is beyond imagination. It can be traced back to the ancient Mesopotamian civilization over 2000 BC. At that time, people thought that some special astronomical phenomena represented a symbol of the world. Around the 5th century BC, Babylonian astronomers first used the concept of the zodiac. Imagine the whole sky as a big ball, and the stars are all distributed on the spherical shell. This is the so-called celestial sphere. The ecliptic is the trajectory of the sun on the celestial sphere, and the 8-degree area on both sides of it is the ecliptic belt. Planets all move on the ecliptic. Babylonians also divided the zodiac into twelve regions, but the names of these regions came from the ancient Greeks. In fact, the names of most constellations come from Greek mythology. If the equator of the earth extends infinitely to intersect with the ecliptic, there will be many intersections, and the vernal equinox is one of them. From the vernal equinox, divide an area every 30 degrees, which is the 12 house of the zodiac. Maybe you are familiar with the following names: Aries Palace, Taurus Palace, Twin Uterus, Cancer Palace, Lion Palace, Virgo Palace, Libra Palace, Scorpio Palace, Sagittarius Palace, Capricorn Palace, Aquarius Palace and Pisces Palace. These names are named after the zodiac where each region is located. Astrology depends on this. When you were born, the position of these celestial bodies formed a specific so-called "Tiangong map", and the position of the sun at that time was your birth constellation. Some stars will think that this "constellation" determines everything about you, and then it will "predict" your character and destiny through a set of tedious theories. Is contradictory constellation tag astrology really credible? There are many facts that show that astrology has many loopholes and contradictions. Many people don't know that the sky seen by the ancient Babylonians is actually different from the sky now. The precession of the Earth's rotation will cause vernal equinox to move westward for about 50 seconds every year. After thousands of years of accumulation, the current constellations and palaces can no longer correspond to each other. This means that if you are the so-called "Aries", then you should actually be "Pisces". So, why do astrologers still make predictions based on their positions thousands of years ago? The more interesting question is, how did you determine your "Tiangong Map"? How do astrologers define the moment when your life begins? It is the moment when the fertilized egg is formed. Or the moment of delivery? If it's the latter, it's terrible, and childbirth can't be completed in an instant. The embryonic development stage of human beings is nearly 10 months, which is long enough to destroy any astrological theory. Astrology gives people 12 different labels. According to their theory, people in the same constellation have the same personality. For example, Taurus people are stubborn, Virgo people are careful. However, we know that many twins, even identical twins, may show completely different personalities. The astrological explanation of this phenomenon is not credible. People's personalities divided by constellations are just like different types of people divided by regions. For example, are all Northeasters living Lei Feng? This is an absurd theory. A more extreme example: Will our Homo erectus ancestors also be influenced by astrology? What about the blue whale? A specious astrological judgment, you may say, "However, I have seen some astrological predictions really work!" Yes, it may sometimes seem "effective", just as witch doctors may sometimes "cure" patients. In that case, let's do a little experiment first. I extracted the following description from an astrological reader: Libra's advantages: trustworthy, not afraid of difficulties, patient and cautious; Disadvantages: strict with others, indecisive when things happen, and easy to remain the same. If you are a Libra, do you think this is a description of your personality? Amazing, isn't it? But I'm sorry, I seem to have made a mistake. What I just said should actually be Capricorn, not Libra. Astrology is to deceive you with this specious prediction. If this description is just to your taste, you will definitely find it very useful. In fact, astrological judgments are always what you like to hear, and even the shortcomings they say are advantages from another perspective, rather than shortcomings that are spurned by universal moral standards. For example, I have never seen astrology say which constellation is meaner. Because it is specious, the possibility of its "efficacy" is sometimes very great. Astrology takes advantage of your psychological weakness. If 10 times is correct, it will also make you believe in astrology. However, one in ten chances is not even comparable to random guessing. The double-blind experiment debunked the wrong prediction. Astrology takes Uranus, Neptune and Pluto as one of the factors of "prediction". However, these planets are relatively small in mass and very far away from us. Why should we consider them? You know, the sum of their gravity on the earth is almost negligible. Some people may think that there may be some unknown factors affecting our destiny. Strictly speaking, this situation is possible. But first, we need to confirm whether astrology itself is effective. One of the most famous tests is Shawn Carlson's double-blind astrology experiment at 1985. At that time, Carlson invited 30 European and American astrologers to carry out experiments and found 1 16 "customers". Carlson separates "customers" from astrologers. Then, he gave each astrologer three different personality characteristics, only one of which was a real "customer" for them to identify. These personality description files are all established through scientific investigation and can be used for scientific research. The result was a bit unexpected: these "experienced" astrologers got only about 33% right. In other words, you can almost reach this level even if you don't know astrology at all. In a paper published in the British journal Nature, Carlson said: ... through double-blind experiments, astrologers' predictions are wrong. The position of planets and other celestial bodies at birth has nothing to do with human character. This experiment undoubtedly denies astrology. The usual trick of astrologers is that in the case of "double-blind", astrologers do nothing, which also reveals a truth: when you face each other, astrologers rely on mind-reading and mind-reading, and they can find your details without your attention. Before western astrology became popular in China, fortune tellers on the tramp made a living with this set of things, and summed up the secrets of how to beat about the bush, read words and sense colors, use intimidation and flattery, use both hard and soft Qi Fei, and use psychological warfare to make the other party pay the price. As for books and the Internet, there is no contact with real people, and psychological warfare is of course much less powerful, but fortune tellers also have the convenience of talking nonsense. Generally speaking, you won't ask for a refund or file a lawsuit for compensation because one of the predictions in the book is inaccurate, will you? In addition, fortune tellers usually have the privilege of being wise after the event. In addition to using the hedge between Saturn and Pluto to explain the "9. 1 1" incident and the world turmoil that occurred after the Middle East peace crisis, they will also find a lot of previously unexplained situations to repair their previously invalid predictions. Isn't your luck as good as the constellation says this year? Are you not so harmonious with the lover who matches the constellation? There is a reason for this. In short, astrologers are always right, but unfortunately they can't tell you everything in advance. As a natural phenomenon, the damage caused by credulity should not affect our destiny. So astrology is a harmless entertainment? I'm afraid not. Some people say that if you believe in astrology, you won't lose anything, but if you don't, you may encounter misfortune. This seemingly one-sided conclusion is actually false. Believing in astrology may make people lose some opportunities and fun and lose true love. The British Medical Journal once reported that some Japanese and Japanese people who think that the number "4" is unlucky have higher death rates than usual on the 4th of each month, especially the chance of dying of heart disease. They are scared to death themselves. Although we may not be able to answer what your destiny is and define what true love is, what is certain is that astrology cannot answer all this, and astrology makes you lose more than you gain. At the end of the article, I will tell a story about James Randy. Randy is a famous anti-pseudoscience fighter. /kloc-At the age of 0/7, he was invited to write an astrological column for a Canadian newspaper. In order to do the experiment, Randy agreed and began to publish a column under the name of "Zoran". Randy cuts out some contents from astrology magazines every day, and then mixes them and posts them. This job seems absurd, but it is actually a way for astrologers to make money all the time. After practice, Randy wrote in his book "Movie-Flame": ... When readers saw how brilliant their future was, they screamed and said to me with joy,' The prediction in Zoran's column last week came true for me'. But I didn't say I was Zoran ... The letters from readers are also very interesting, and their feedback is enough to make me believe that many people will be fooled, and they believe what any authoritative person with mysterious power says. Realizing this, Zoran put down the scissors, threw away the glue bottle and left the business. Why didn't pseudo psychology disappear in our scientific age? Some of them are even very popular. Take the constellation theory as an example to analyze the reasons: in the constellation theory, a person's personality, material and behavior are determined by the positions of stars and planets in the sky when he was born. A lot of evidence shows that this statement has no scientific basis at all. Through the following analysis, it can be fully explained that the constellation theory is simply nonsense: First, since the establishment of the constellation theory, the constellations in the zodiac have been changed. In other words, when the theory was founded last night, Scorpio should be Libra now, but most astrologers pretend not to know this change; Second, whether couples are well matched in astrology has nothing to do with their marriage rate and divorce rate; Third, the research results have shown that the constellation has nothing to do with leadership, physiological characteristics, career choice or personality tendency; Fourth, at the moment when the baby is born, the strength of the doctor delivering the baby is far greater than the gravity of the stars in the sky. Constellation scientists can neither explain why the gravity of stars is more important to babies, nor why the moment of birth is more important to the development of human personality than the moment when sperm and eggs combine. 5. The results show that among more than 3000 predictions made by famous astrologers, few can be regarded as confirmed predictions. In fact, those so-called success predictions are all vague things, such as: "In spring, a tragedy will happen somewhere in the East." There are also some hats that are easy to predict the development results from the current situation. In short, astrology simply doesn't work. So, why are so many people keen on constellation theory? This can be explained by some psychological phenomena in social psychology: accepting sequences uncritically. If an astrologer draws your astrolabe, you may be deeply moved by the obvious accuracy, but this feeling is generally to accept the results of the sequence without thinking. Uncritical acceptance means that people tend to believe in flattery and praise from others. Many astrolabe explanations are intended to please people. When you see your employer describing your personality in words you like to hear, you will naturally think that this description is true. For example, if your birthday belongs to Virgo, take a look at the following description and see how it fits your situation. Virgo: You are a logical and organized person, and you hate disorder and chaos. Your picky friends can't stand it. You are born to be a master at solving conflicts. Similar comments can also be found online. The positive example fallacy effect of personality description in constellation theory, even if there are both good and bad personality characteristics, people may still think it is accurate. The following is a universally applicable personality analysis. After reading it, you may find out why people believe such things easily. You really need others to like you, and you really need others to admire you. You tend to criticize yourself. You have a lot of untapped potential, and you haven't turned it into your advantage. You have some weaknesses in your character, but on the whole, you have the ability to make up for them. On the surface, you are well-behaved and controlling, but deep down, you often feel irritable and insecure. You are always full of doubts about what you have done, and you don't know whether what you have done is right or wrong. You like to change and change things from time to time, and you are dissatisfied with constraints and restrictions. You are proud of your independent thinking ability and don't accept opinions that are not confirmed by credible evidence. You find it unwise to be too frank and let others know everything about you. Sometimes you are extroverted, you are amiable, easy to communicate and good at communication; But sometimes you are introverted, cautious and taciturn. Some things you long for are often quite unrealistic. Can these accurately tell your personality characteristics? A psychologist surveyed 79 college students who had participated in the personality test and read this passage to them respectively. Among them, only five college students think that this description does not accurately grasp their personality characteristics. Another study shows that people think this analysis of personality is more accurate than the description of constellations. You will find that this description contains different characteristics of the same personality, such as saying "Sometimes you are extroverted" and saying "Sometimes you are introverted", which always sounds extremely accurate. It is easy to create an illusion on the basis of positive examples and fallacies. Fallacy of positive instances refers to the perceptual error caused by people only paying attention to the information that meets their expectations and ignoring other information. Constellation scientists have successfully used this illusion to cheat people's trust. For example, you can always find the personality characteristics of Leo described in constellation theory in a person who belongs to Leo. If you read those descriptions carefully, you will find that this description is actually very similar to that of Gemini or Scorpio. Barnum effect constellation uses another psychological effect, Barnum effect. Barnum is a famous circus artist, and his success has only one sentence: "Always let every audience feel that they have gained something". In order to make people feel that the description of their personality beads is accurate, we must talk about those common behavioral characteristics, so that a description can be used on anyone. Pseudopsychology, such as palm reading, fortune telling and constellation theory, all make use of this effect and can make you hear something. The more common you say, the more you can admire their accuracy. There is a way to make you understand Barnum effect: as long as you read the future forecast of 12 constellation in newspapers and magazines for several days, you will find that everything will happen in different starry nights in the future, and you write a lot of jargon. Constellation theory can do it because many people can't tell what is scientific psychology and what is pseudoscience. I hope that our discussion of pseudoscience will enable us to have a more critical eye in the future and judge the authenticity of various theories through scientific observation. References:

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