Sybil. Trelawney: Prophet or liar?

Sybil. Trelawney, a divination teacher at Hogwarts, is the great-granddaughter of the famous prophet Cassandra Trelawney. Although her part is not very heavy, she has influenced the fate of many people. Whether her predictions are true or false is puzzling.

Trelawney first appeared in Harry's third grade. She lives in a remote north tower and looks like a big shiny beetle. She made many predictions in the first class, which was hard to impress.

The first prophecy said to Neville, what happened to your grandmother? Neville said trembling, I think so. Trelawney said, "If I were you, I wouldn't be so sure."

It turned out that Neville's grandmother was not only fine at that time, but also alive and well in the last film, and even put down a Auror in the seventh film. Trelawney's prediction is a complete failure. Wizarding circles are small. Everyone knows that Neville lives with grandma, and everyone knows that grandma is old, so grandma is not very good, and the probability of being right is very high. Trelawney's prediction was completely blind.

The second prediction of this kind of people is parvati, beware of men with red hair. When parvati heard this, he moved the stool away from Ron.

Ron really offended parvati's two friends, his sister Padma and his best friend Lavender, and especially hurt Lavender, but parvati himself and Ron have no problem, so I think this prediction is a bit reluctant.

The third prediction that "classes will be suspended due to malignant influenza" has not been subsequently confirmed.

The fourth prophecy, "Around Easter, someone will leave everyone forever", is interpreted as Hermione dropping out of school. But come to think of it, Hermione didn't leave you forever. Everyone still has to live together in the Gryffindor lounge, taking classes such as transfiguration, potions and spells, but Hermione should leave Trelawney forever.

The fifth prophecy, for Lavender, "What you are afraid of will happen on 10/0/6". That day, Lavender received a letter from home saying that her rabbit had died. But Hermione thinks that Lavender is no longer worried about her rabbit, and her rabbit didn't die that day, so this prediction is also blind.

The sixth prophecy, Neville will break the cup, is a successful prophecy, but there are some psychological hints.

The first six predictions were made by Trelawney casually, without any tools, and the purpose was very low. Many of them are far-fetched, and in order to create a rambling atmosphere, they make themselves very badly.

But then she saw the falcon in Harry's teacup, representing the arch-enemy Voldemort; The stick, which stands for attack, can be interpreted as dementors' attack on Quidditch. There is also "ominous", which means death and Sirius's return, both of which can be explained. These predictions are very accurate.

At the end of the third grade semester, Trelawney made a real prediction in her sleep, and accurately predicted the reappearance of the Dark Lord, even with a specific time figure, as accurate as her previous prediction of Harry's birth. The similarity between these two true predictions is that she was not awake when she made the prediction, and then she knew nothing about it.

In the first divination class of grade four, Trelawney made another prediction for Harry.

"Your worry is not groundless. I know your future life is full of hardships ... very difficult ... I'm worried that what you're afraid of will really happen ... maybe even faster than you think ... "

Although this passage is really accurate, it is vague, and it makes sense to put it at 123567.

Then there is astrology,

"At the moment you were born, Saturn must have dominated the sky ... your black hair ... your slim figure ... you lost your parents in infancy ... I can assert that you were born in winter, dear?"

"No," said Harry, "my birthday is in July."

This is a thoughtful analysis. Harry is Voldemort's horcrux, and Voldemort happened to be born in winter. Coincidentally, Voldemort also has black hair, thin body and lost his father in his childhood, so this prediction is not aimed at Harry, but at Voldemort.

In the sixth grade, Trelawney began to drink heavily and was often in a semi-conscious state. On several occasions, tarot divination was surprisingly accurate.

"Spades 2: Conflict;" As she passed Harry's hiding place, she murmured, "Spades 7: Bad omen; Spades 10: violence; Jack of Spades: A young man with black hair may be too sad to be interrogated-"She stopped and stood on the other side of the statue where Harry was hiding. "Oh, this is definitely not right." She said worriedly that Harry walked forward after hearing her shuffle, leaving only the smell of sherry behind him.

Before Dumbledore died, she also used tarot cards to make accurate predictions. "-Lightning struck the tower," she murmured. "Unfortunately, the disaster is getting closer and closer ..."

As for the widely circulated 13 people eating together, the first to stand up will be the first to die. I think this is not Trelawney's "prophecy", but an ancient superstition and curse that Trelawney firmly believes in. So I won't say it alone.

To sum up, Trelawney is a real person with a vision, and she really inherited the talent of a prophet. Her predictions in the unconscious state (including drunkenness) are extremely accurate. She is also very accurate in divination by various means (tea, tarot cards, astrology). But unfortunately, she doesn't know her talent. In order to hide her guilty conscience and create a mysterious atmosphere, her "predictions" are basically nonsense, which greatly reduces the accuracy of her predictions and seriously affects her entire reputation.

So, you must be confident! Believe in yourself, you are the most beautiful! Maybe you are really the most beautiful, but you don't know it yourself!