How many years will it take to change the shed in Weizi Garden?

As we all know, China began to implement shed reform in 2005, but the shed reform at that time was mainly based on housing compens

How many years will it take to change the shed in Weizi Garden?

As we all know, China began to implement shed reform in 2005, but the shed reform at that time was mainly based on housing compensation, that is, after a large number of old houses were demolished, residents were moved into new houses to realize physical compensation.

Later, the shed was changed, and the house compensation gradually became money compensation, which is what we often heard in the past. This great change not only realized the dream of the relocated households to get rich overnight, but also led to a round of skyrocketing property market in China.

After a large number of relocated households tasted the sweetness of buying and selling houses to make money, they also injected huge funds obtained from demolition into the property market to buy houses and hoard houses. As a result, in just one or two years, housing prices in first-tier cities have doubled, while third-,fourth-and fifth-tier cities have also bucked the trend during that time, and some county towns have even increased by more than 60%, reaching 80%.

Until 2022, the large-scale shed reform and demolition basically ended and was replaced by the old reform. The so-called "old renovation" is actually to repair the old residential areas with a room age of more than 20 years on the basis of not carrying out large-scale demolition and construction.

For example, if there is a problem with the wall, brush it again; Water and electricity pipelines are old and need to be replaced; And increase parking spaces or elevator equipment.

Why stop the shed reform and increase the old reform?

Several reasons:

1. The cost of demolition is getting more and more expensive. With the rising house prices, the cost pressure of local demolition is also increasing. In addition, the cost of land acquisition is rising, but for profit reasons, the enthusiasm of developers to build houses is declining. After all, the purpose of developers building houses is to make money. Without profit, they will naturally reduce their desire to build houses.

2. The house price remains high. In the past, the shed was changed to large-scale demolition, although it solved the housing needs of many city people. However, with the compensation of a house, the relocated households frantically bought commercial houses in the city, which accelerated the rise of house prices.

In order to control the excessive rise in housing prices, large-scale shed reform was stopped. Moreover, if we continue to demolish and build the main structure, it will not affect the house where we live, and it will also cause great waste of social resources. Therefore, it is necessary to stop

In 2023, three types of old houses need to be prepared for demolition.

After entering 2023, although the large-scale demolition and construction has ended, the old one has replaced it. However, it does not mean that it will not be demolished from now on. For example, the following three types of old houses are the main demolition targets of the last batch of sheds in China.

The first category is old houses that meet the standards of dangerous houses.

For those old houses that have been over 20 years, if the main structure of the house is still good and does not meet the standards of dangerous houses after appraisal by authoritative organizations, then even if the house is older, there is a great probability that it will be repaired by the old methods and continue to live.

However, after identification, it has reached a certain standard of dangerous houses, and it is more likely to be demolished if you continue to live in old houses that may pose a threat to personal and property safety.

There are two main ways to compensate for the demolition of old houses: one is physical resettlement, that is, the residents of old houses move into nearby resettlement houses to live, and the living environment can be improved.

The other is the original demolition and return. Generally speaking, residents are allowed to move out of the old dangerous house first, spend some time by renting a house, and then move back to their original residence after the new house is built.

The second category is the old houses that affect the municipal planning land.

It is normal for a city to make a plan every few years, such as building subways, schools, parks, widening roads and so on. If the old house you live in happens to be on the planned land acquisition, in the end, the old house will naturally be demolished.

Generally, the resettlement method adopted in this way is mainly in kind, which means that it is more likely for residents to move into resettlement houses.

The third category is old houses in downtown areas.

Generally, the central area of a city has location advantages. There are not only large shopping malls, educational resources and medical resources around. And there is a certain appreciation space, the house will naturally have a certain price advantage. The demolition and construction of old houses in such lots has always been the most willing of housing enterprises. After all, it is profitable, and the profit doubles instantly.

However, in the past two years, the real estate market has been sluggish, and housing enterprises have been more cautious in financing land acquisition. Based on the market supply and demand situation, it is predicted that the possibility of housing enterprises taking land for demolition in the future is getting smaller and smaller.

So generally speaking, in the last round of shed renovation and demolition, the above-mentioned houses were the main ones with high probability. But obviously, no matter what causes the demolition, it is almost impossible to realize the dream of getting rich overnight by demolishing the house. At this point, we still have to be mentally prepared.