China pig industry is facing changes. What preparations should pig farmers make?

Let's first review the changes that have taken place in the pig industry in the past 30 years and the changes that will be faced soon. In the era of planned economy, in addition to state-owned farms and pig farms, pigs were mainly raised in rural areas.

2. After the reform and opening up, on the basis of free-range breeding, professional pig farmers have emerged. Dozens to hundreds of pigs are considered good, and most of them are mainly fat pigs.

3. With the passage of time, the core concepts of pig breeding, feed, management and prevention began to be popularized throughout the country, and a large number of foreign pig breeds began to be introduced, mainly from foreign boars to improve local native pigs, forming soil binary hybrid pigs, matching feed, pig farm management, epidemic prevention and other molding concepts.

On the basis of improving soil binary hybridization in 1980s, foreign ternary hybrid combinations and corresponding purebred pig breeds were introduced: Duroc, Landrace and Yorkshire. Pig-raising modes such as original breeding pig farm, purebred pig, dual sow farm and fat pig farm began to appear.

At this time, breaking the traditional fixed mode of raising pigs is for farmers, and various industries have invested in several modes of pig farms. The original excellent local pig breeds are protected by national pig farms.

Hundreds of thousands of sows used to be large-scale, but now they have changed. Large-scale intensive pig farms beyond our imagination began to appear in black and pink, and pig-raising equipment and facilities became more and more refined, scientific and intelligent. At this time, the pig industry is not a traditional concept, but a new enterprise with factory management.

Technology is the guarantee, and the enterprise concept of operating efficiency is brought into the pig industry. The salary of a pig farm director is unimaginable to ordinary people, ranging from hundreds of thousands of pig farms to hundreds of thousands to millions. Pig farms are oriented by technology and management, and tedious manual labor is gradually replaced by mechanized and intelligent equipment and facilities.

5. The pollution and environmental protection of pig farms are becoming more and more strict. Many pig-raising developed areas in China began to move to remote mountainous areas. In some areas, with the increase of income items and the lack of free-range agricultural funds, free-range families disappear on their own.

Is there any change in the pig industry in the future? 1. It is estimated that the traditional open-air septic tanks will be strictly prohibited and replaced by zero discharge from pig farms and reuse of pig manure and urine to make bio-organic fertilizers.

2. Pork safety: The abuse of antibiotics will be strictly prohibited, and it will gradually develop in the direction of non-resistant pig raising. The recent announcement of banning the use of pharmaceutical feed additives is a weather vane.

3. In order to improve the living environment, more and more forbidden areas, small pig farms and free-range households will face relocation or change careers, except in remote rural areas or mountainous areas. It turns out that when we go to some free-range households and raise dozens of pigs, the noise made when we feed the pigs will be unacceptable to our neighbors, not to mention the smell of feces and urine. When people and animals get sick, the harm will be even greater.

4. Big capital entered the pig industry, and several big coffees such as Ma Yun announced their entry into the pig industry. Let's not talk about the gap in personnel, technology, equipment and facilities. Let's say that this African swine fever, big capital can tolerate losses to resume production, and it can tolerate it even if it doesn't make money for two or three years. Is ordinary pig farm ok? Assuming that the net profit of a live fat pig in a large pig farm is acceptable in 50 yuan, what about the general pig farm?

What preparations should pig farmers make? Through the history and future direction of pig industry reform, we can easily get the answer. Through the gap analysis of capital, technology, management, equipment and facilities, profit and other factors, we will know where to go. It is emphasized that the unit profit of large pig farms will not be as much as that of free-range farms. In areas dominated by large pig farms, it is conceivable that free-range farmers and small pig farms are difficult to survive independently.

Some people will say that large pig farms have the help of policy funds, which is true, but I haven't heard of any large pig farms that can gain a foothold in the market with the help of policies, only solving a small part of the problems.

Taoism is natural, and any business behavior will naturally change. Survival of the fittest is the fundamental way of business. The pig industry in developed areas will definitely be dominated by large-scale pig farms in the future, and free-range farming in remote rural areas and mountainous areas will exist for a long time, such as Yunnan.

A series of hot topics related to pig raising, such as African swine fever, capital pig raising, sky-high pork, high risk, high cost and high return, are being discussed by everyone. On August 3rd, 20 18, African swine fever was introduced into China, and the domestic pig-raising system began to change. Looking back on the development of pig raising in the past two years, it is different from the past.

1. Changes in breeding scale: The Group's pig raising has developed rapidly, and the proportion of free-range households has gradually decreased, but it will continue to exist.

An epidemic has changed many people's views on the pig industry. At present, domestic pig farms of different scales account for 55% of the total, private pig farms account for 25%, and group pig farms account for 20%. Compared with before 20 18, the group's pig farms have increased by 10%, and this trend is still increasing.

Raising pigs in the future requires higher production level, cost control, risk-taking ability and capital chain. Some capital will enter the pig industry, and the powerful group pig farms will gradually expand. Free-range households are determined by the national conditions of raising pigs. Raising pigs in China is not like raising pigs in Europe and America. The high degree of mechanization and high labor cost determine the large-scale pig raising mode in Europe and America. However, in China, there is still a long way to go from free-range farming to large-scale farming. Free-range households will continue to raise pigs, but the proportion of pigs will gradually decline. Intensive and large-scale farming is the future development trend.

Second, in the future, family farms will be the mainstay of pig raising in rural areas, and free-range pig farmers should have a development concept.

Compared with the model of "every family has a pigsty and every family raises fat pigs" 20 years ago, the number of pigs in the village has been greatly reduced, but the total amount of farming is increasing because of the scale of farming. A family keeps dozens of pigs as a sideline and also grows several acres of land. This small-scale farming is not suitable for the development of farming scale. With the complication of raising pigs and the increase of risks and costs, it will be gradually replaced by family farms. Free-range households with high breeding level have developed from a couple to 3-5 people to raise basic sows 100, and pig farms with poor breeding concepts have gradually withdrawn from the pig industry. Therefore, free-range households should also have the concept of intensive development. Large-scale pig raising is not a stumbling block for free-range households, but without large-scale, it is difficult to support the reduction of pig raising costs and resist pig raising risks.

Third, some pig farmers should seize the opportunity of cooperation, and the future company+farmers is a promising breeding model.

2 1 century is the era of cooperation, and the whole industrial chain has always advertised cooperation and win-win. In the pig industry, the company+farmer model has been successfully promoted, and the company has shifted the land occupation and environmental protection pressure of fattening pig farm construction. Farmers have obtained better service and high-quality piglet resources from professional pig companies, and the company has recovered and given certain feeding expenses. For some pig farmers who fatten piglets, it is difficult to guarantee the resources of each batch of piglets, let alone high-quality foreign ternary piglets. Once the market goes up, they can't get pigs, so they can only leave their houses empty and watch others make money.

Fourth, regardless of the scale of pig raising in the future, environmental protection must be considered.

Domestic environmental problems deserve our consideration. Not only Jinshan Yinshan, but also green mountains and green waters are needed. Pig industry is a highly polluting industry. The state attaches great importance to pig manure discharge and environmental protection. From top to bottom, all pig farms should consider how to discharge sewage when they are established. Whether it is tertiary purification of sewage, biogas digester fermentation or strain fermentation, it is not allowed to be discharged if it fails to meet the standard.

Five, African swine fever will exist for a long time, biological safety will become more and more strict, and equipment and facilities should be moderately improved.

In the past, pigs in pig farms may not pay much attention to biological safety, but they can make do with it. Fortunately, it's nothing serious. However, because African swine fever has entered China, at present, it can only rely on biological safety. When a pig farm is established, it is necessary to consider disinfection channels, clean areas and dirty areas, decontamination workshops, etc. At the same time, we should pay attention to the solid wall of raising pigs and the partition of drinking water. Even if the vaccine goes on the market in the future, there will be more and more positive pigs, and the biosafety requirements of negative fields will be higher.

Six, the price of pigs began to fall, and the chances of raising a batch of pigs to make a fortune were less. Raising pigs is sustainable development.

With the recovery of pig industry, the stock has gradually increased, the price of pigs has also decreased, and the profiteering period of pigs has passed. In the past, people with opportunism thought that there were not many opportunities to get rich by raising a group of pigs, and the profit space of raising pigs was gradually compressed, so raising sows was the right way.

Seven, the domestic breeding system is gradually improved, and the future will not only be the world where Du grew up, but also domestic high-quality varieties may be more suitable for raising pigs in rural areas.

At present, the external ternary breeding system has been used. Duroc, Landrace Pig and Large White Pig are all from abroad. In recent years, domestic pigs pay more attention to the cultivation of local breeds. With the improvement of breeding system, rural pigs may be more suitable for roughage, disease resistance and high yield, such as Min pig and Taihu pig. Rural pigs should reasonably choose breeding pig breeds according to their own conditions.

Eight, pork food safety will definitely go to the conference table, and pig farmers should make a good choice of antibiotic substitutes.

The pig industry in China is facing reform, and it is not just the pig industry. Why do you say that? Because aquaculture has to go through four stages, the first is domestication, the second is small-scale farming, the third is moderate farming, and the fourth is intensive farming. At present, although our pig industry is a sunrise industry, it is already in the fourth stage and must face reform.

① The arrival of antibiotic resistance: This is an inevitable trend. The feed industry should achieve antibiotic resistance before 2020. This does not mean that antibiotics cannot be used in the breeding process. As far as feed is concerned, this is a very big move.

(2) Set up no-raising areas: Many developed areas and coastal areas have set up no-raising areas to limit the annual slaughter, which is also a great blow to self-employed and free-range households.

(3) Support for large and medium-sized enterprises: Small enterprises that are unqualified or violate the rules should be closed down gradually and support for large and medium-sized enterprises should be strengthened.

(4) Strict environmental governance: Now environmental governance is very strict. As long as they fail to meet the standards or are reported by others, they will face severe punishment. For self-employed and free-range households that fail to meet the standards, it is impossible to breed casually as before.

Free-range households will inevitably withdraw from the market, or gradually present a free-range mode. At present, the free-range mode of large companies and farmers in many companies is delicious, mainly to avoid the punishment of environmental governance, but such examples will be reformed in the future.

From last year to this year, the pig industry was in turmoil, and a swine fever made pig farmers fidgety, which had some influence on the pig industry. From these incidents, we can also see some things that the pig industry needs to remedy, and pig farmers should make preparations in advance.

Breeding has always been a high-risk and high-return industry, and so has raising pigs. When the pig price is good, the profit of the pig industry is still considerable. But when it comes to infectious diseases of pigs, it may be difficult for pig farmers to return to their original funds. Relatively speaking, most pigs are raised on a small scale, and the investment cost and risk are still relatively large. After the swine fever incident in recent years, pig farmers can't help but think about whether they need to continue to engage in pig farming. If we want to continue to raise pigs, pig farmers should do a good job in risk assessment and prevention and reduce risks in order to improve the return on investment.

Awareness and means of prevention and control of pig diseases; pig farmers must first do their jobs well. Only when pigs are well managed can they enter the market to discuss prices. You Zhu is an animal, and it is also at risk of getting sick. Only by doing a good job in daily hygiene management and creating a comfortable and safe environment for pigs will the probability of disease occurrence and infection be greatly reduced. Therefore, the timely cleaning and disinfection of pig houses should be the idea of pig farmers. Even in the safe period when there is no disease outbreak, these things should be done as a habit, so even if there are other places.

Grasp the market dynamics, after all, no matter who raises pigs, even if the previous farmers raise a few pigs at will, or raise pigs on a large scale in large farms, they all want to get rewards from it. After all, I have never heard of raising pigs for charity. To gain income, we should consider the relationship between investment and income and risk. Risks can be controlled in every detail, such as the daily cleaning of pig houses, and investment is also related to the price of pork and pigs in the market, so we need to seize the opportunity.

Communication to improve pig raising technology is never better than talking more about communication and learning more. Any industry needs to improve its skills through communication. At present, the technology and experience of pig farmers is an infinite cycle, and the knowledge of pig raising is prone to faults. Therefore, pig farmers should exchange experience and technology and improve their pig-raising skills through spontaneous organization and learning.

In short, at present, pig farmers should get inspiration from the incident and avoid similar risk events from happening again. They need to be fully prepared from the aspects of disease prevention, mastering market conditions and improving breeding skills, and communication between industries.

I'm an ordinary road and I'm happy to answer questions.

African swine fever, which has not ended since last year, can be said to have taught a good lesson to the traditional pig raising model. Why do you say that? We can see from the farms where swine fever occurs that African swine fever generally occurs in private small farms, but there is basically no report of African swine fever in the second large-scale corporate farming, which shows that the traditional family small workshop farming model needs to be improved urgently. Otherwise, it is difficult to continue to make up for the current situation.

Taking advantage of the topic, China pig industry is facing reform. How to change the reform and what should pig farmers do? Where are you going? This series of problems need our serious consideration!

However, pig farmers can still improve from the following aspects, and may be able to get a share in the new trend of thinking of pig reform.

First of all, the pig industry is definitely eliminating the small-scale, private small workshop-style farming mode and entering a new enterprise-scale farming form. The biggest characteristics of this form are standardized process, strict daily management and strict disinfection of pigs entering and leaving the company. Simply put, it is to achieve quality control and foreign virus control through unified and standardized forms.

Secondly, environmental protection and sanitation are the key points of management. The worst thing about small workshop-style pig raising is the breeding environment, which does not give priority to hygiene and daily disinfection, leading to the arrival of foreign viruses, such as African swine fever, which has no return and no resistance.

Third, don't abuse antibiotics. Small workshops do not control antibiotics well. Antibiotics are used to improve the resistance and survival rate of pigs, but antibiotics are a double-edged sword. When the virus comes, there is no cure, only waiting for death to infect it.

Fourth, don't think that you can make money by raising a few pigs, just lie down and count the money. After African swine fever, the pattern of pig industry has basically been set, and the stronger the strong, the weaker will be eliminated. Those who want to raise in the middle should also change their thinking and become bigger and stronger.

Finally, we should use modern technology to raise pigs. We must do a good job in raising female pigs. The quality and virus of our own piglets are well controlled, while the quality and health of foreign piglets are not well controlled.

Finally, remind everyone that raising pigs is risky and investment must be cautious.

China pig industry is facing changes. What preparations should pig farmers make?

The pig industry has never been static, and it has been moving forward, but the process of moving forward is a bit slow.

In recent years, China's pig industry has experienced two major events, one is the environmental inspection of pig farms and the other is African swine fever. 1. In 20 17, the pig industry in China was as lively as this year, because the state carried out environmental inspection and demolition of pig farms nationwide.

During that time, the number of retail investors decreased by a large part, or the pig farm was in the village, and there was no manure treatment facility, so the government refused to raise it.

Either the pig farm does not have qualified land procedures, and the farmland is changed into a farm, which is an illegal building and the government department will dismantle it regularly.

During that time, pig farms all over the country were afraid of environmental protection if they were not careful.

Second, last year's African swine fever has continued until now, and there is still no complete result.

It's almost a year since African swine fever came to China, and the drugs for treatment have not appeared, and the vaccine has not been developed.

Judging from the current situation, I estimate that unless the vaccine is successfully developed, there is still a long way to go to prevent and control African swine fever.

What preparations do pig farmers make? At present, the most serious problem is African swine fever, and all the work of farmers should focus on African swine fever.

1. disinfection

At present, prevention is the only way to prevent African swine fever, and the vehicles that collect pigs are the biggest source of infection.

Therefore, in addition to internal disinfection, pig farms should try not to let external vehicles enter the pig farms. It is a troublesome but effective method to use the transit warehouse for transit.

2. The pig farm carefully fills the circle.

After work, the breeding market is very good, and the price of pigs will be higher and higher. However, due to the existence of African swine fever, the risk is also relatively high. It is still recommended that farmers be cautious and don't let the high pig price get carried away.

Up to now, centralized breeding pigs are prone to infectious diseases, and the treatment cost of farmyard manure is too high and difficult. The correct breeding method should be that it can be cultivated in any kind of farmland, and a standardized breeding circle of 2000 heads should be built on 100 mu of farmland, and decentralized breeding should be implemented. First, decentralized breeding can reduce the cross-infection of viruses in piglets at hand, reduce the investment in preventive drugs and reduce the cost of breeding! Secondly, decentralized farming is also convenient for the rational use of pig manure, which reduces the pollution of manure, turns harm into treasure, and increases the harmless and high-yield agriculture.

In the current pig breeding industry, especially under the influence of African swine fever and COVID-19, the whole pig breeding market has indeed undergone new changes. Among them, African swine fever is mainly aimed at a series of prevention and control problems of pig breeding, which will raise the epidemic prevention problem of pig breeding to a new height. In other words, many small-scale or retail pig farmers have withdrawn from this industry, and many have suffered serious losses because of the emergence of African swine fever. Although the epidemic situation in COVID-19 comes once in a hundred years, it has also sounded the alarm for the whole sales process.

AI intelligent pig raising mode

In the future, the pig industry will tend to specialization and scale. Why do I say that? During the invasion of African swine fever, according to various news reports, the epidemic situation of African swine fever was relatively large in some small-scale or retail farmers. However, African swine fever has not appeared in large-scale or group pig raising, or the probability is very low. This mainly depends on the large-scale pig breeding group's epidemic prevention measures in place, and the pig breeding environment and related breeding rules and regulations are relatively strict. This can reduce the factors that cause infectious diseases in pig farms, but there is no good epidemic prevention or disinfection problem in small-scale or retail farming. Compared with the pig farm environment, it is very different, which is a way to accelerate the spread.

Automatic pig feeding system

What higher requirements will pig farmers have in the future? For the future, no matter which industry, science and technology will basically be the primary productive force. In the recent recruitment of some aquaculture industries, you can basically understand that for Wanda pig raising, I believe netizens have heard more or less. The recruitment of pig farmers in its institutional recruitment can be said to be high-paying employment. Moreover, the requirements for future pig farmers are gradually becoming highly educated, especially the AI intelligent pig raising that pigs will join in the future. The system can detect the whole growth stage of pigs and the temperature of pigs. With the change of pigs, it can be said that it is in charge of the health of pigs. As an ordinary farmer today, it is far from it.

Vanke raises pigs with high salary and bachelor degree or above.

The mode of artificial breeding with bachelor degree or above in pig industry will be gradually eliminated, especially in the process of raising pigs, which may develop towards intelligent trend in the future. One person may be able to manage the whole pig house or several pig houses. Among them, feeding and drinking water are automatic, and different amounts are put in according to the growth situation of different pigs. And controlling the temperature of drinking water for pigs. Different seasons have different temperatures, which are more suitable for the growth of pigs. For the control of these intelligent facilities, not only related technologies are needed, but also the whole process of raising pigs needs to be mastered skillfully. Because people have reduced their contact time with pigs, the incidence of some diseases will be greatly reduced.

Ambient intelligence Control of Pig Raising in the Future

Summary: The basic requirements for future pig farmers are definitely getting higher and higher, while for traditional farmers, more professional knowledge training may be needed. Facing the future pig breeding, what is needed is more professionals and excellent technology. Because large-scale and intelligent pig raising does not need too many people, it needs more professional personnel, hoping to sound the alarm for the current pig farmers. If you have the conditions, learn more about the relevant breeding techniques, and there will be a market in the future.

The laws and regulations of rural aquaculture are becoming stricter and stricter. Farmers used to raise pigs at home, and nobody cared about you. But now, if pigs reach a certain number, they must go through strict examination and application before being allowed to breed. Because rural environmental protection is very strict now, the aquaculture industry that has an impact on the environment is the first to be supervised. As a traditional pig industry, because the farming method is relatively simple and the sewage has not been specially treated, direct discharge of sewage will inevitably cause water and soil pollution in rural areas, thus bringing great security risks to residents' lives.

So the pig industry has really changed a lot in recent years. If farmers want to raise pigs on a large scale, they must go through strict examination, and pig farms must be very standardized. The generated feces and sewage must not be discharged, otherwise once reported, the pig farm may be directly ordered to shut down. Therefore, for pig farmers, if they really want to invest in the pig industry, they must do a good job in environmental protection and have certain risk-taking ability.

As we know, in recent years, African swine fever broke out very frequently in China, which caused a big reshuffle of pig industry in China. Many farmers suffered very serious losses in this epidemic, so they quit the aquaculture industry. Now there are fewer and fewer pigs in the country, and in some places there are ten columns and nine empty pig farms. In other words, in the course of this epidemic, especially for some free-range farmers and some small pig farms in rural areas, they may have a very serious loss this year. Then this epidemic may make the pig breeding industry in China more and more strict with the environment, so the environmental sanitation of pig farms must be strictly controlled and supervised in the future.

Therefore, for many rural small farmers, especially some retail investors, it is very likely that they will be gradually replaced by large farms or medium-sized farms. In the future, there will be fewer and fewer free-range farmers in rural areas, because farmers who do not reach a certain scale often do a bad job in pig farm equipment and environmental protection. This situation is very easy to spread diseases and even pollute the local water and soil. But for some farmers, if only one or two pigs are raised at home, this situation should not be a problem. But once it reaches 5 or above 10, there may be certain requirements, and pigs cannot be raised at will. Therefore, there will be more and more restrictions for small farmers in the future. Do you think my analysis makes sense? Some people say that the pig industry is ready to go, so how should pig farmers prepare? In fact, every time the pattern of pig industry changes greatly, it is directly related to the epidemic situation of pigs, such as 1997 foot-and-mouth disease, high fever in 2006 and African swine fever. Historically, every major epidemic has changed the stock of live pigs in China, updated the technology and, more importantly, affected the trend of pig prices. For example, after a high fever, the price of live pigs rose to 10 yuan/kg, and even higher in some places.

Therefore, it is not surprising that African swine fever has spread in China, so how should pig farmers prepare?

First, the left is king.

No matter how good the preparation is, no matter how high the pig price is, if you don't have a pig, which pig farmer is eliminated, then you are a spectator. You have nothing to do with the high price of pigs. It's sad.

Therefore, in my previous articles, I have always stressed not to be overwhelmed by the status quo. Who knows when African swine fever can be controlled in China and when pigs can be transported across provinces? If anyone really knew, he wouldn't tell you. He made a fortune quietly at hand. How could he have time to tell you?

Therefore, the fat pigs that should be sold should be sold when there is an opportunity. Those sows that have been unwilling to be eliminated before should be eliminated. It is not a bad thing to choose to keep good sows, even if they lose a little. Never mind, save your energy and have cash in your hand. This era is the era when cash is king. It's not a bad thing to do enough ammunition for gaining momentum.

Second, do a good job in environmental protection of pig farms.

Before you are ready to release, I advise you to do a good job in the environmental protection facilities of the pig farm, the construction of septic tanks, the full closure of the manure pile, the deodorization net under the exhaust fan, the isolation of the pig farm from the outside world and so on. A series of work must be done.

Judging from the current situation, the environmental inspection of pig farms is only stricter year by year and will not be relaxed. Now, if you improve these things, you will save African swine fever in the past. The price of pigs has gone up, and the environmental protection department comes to check every day. You are on tenterhooks all day and can't do production with peace of mind.

Third, do a good job in biological safety.

This time, African swine fever once again sounded the importance of biosafety in pig farms. Taking this as an opportunity, the bio-safety system of pig farm was established, such as a series of procedures such as disinfection of vehicles and personnel entering and leaving the pig farm, disinfection of pig farm environment, deratization and so on. If you don't understand, buy two books and ask the experienced predecessors, so I won't explain them in detail here.

Fourth, improve the infrastructure of pig farms.

If you have spare money, you can improve the automation of the original pig farm facilities as much as possible, which can liberate a lot of labor costs and feed more pigs under the unit labor force to prepare for expanding pig raising.

This African swine fever will definitely eliminate some farmers. Only when you are bio-safe, the pigs are less sick, and the rest is you, can you become a participant in the reform of pig industry and gain a lot!