Development and Reform Commission: Liberalize restrictions on settlement in most cities

At the beginning of February this year, it coincides with the Spring Festival holiday, and the transaction volume of the local property market will naturally be greatly affected. After the Spring Festival, the local property market will gradually get on the right track. Just after the Spring Festival, Changzhou, Haikou, Xi, Nanjing, Shenzhen and other five cities introduced the new policy of talent introduction, which suddenly escalated the "talent war". At the same time, with the deregulation of Heze, Zhuhai and other cities since the end of last year, the voice of "property market warming up" began to appear.

What is the real situation of the local property market at present? The performance of hot cities is often very representative. Recently, National Business Daily reporters went to Guangzhou, Nanjing, Chongqing and other hot cities respectively, and conducted an in-depth investigation on the real estate situation in these cities, with a view to showing readers the most authentic performance of the current property market.

Since the end of last year, the regulation of the property market in Heze, Zhuhai, Guangzhou and other places has been loosened one after another, and the voice of "the signal of the property market warming is coming" is endless. Just after the Spring Festival, five cities including Changzhou, Haikou, Xi, Nanjing and Shenzhen introduced new policies for talent introduction, and four of them lowered the threshold for settlement.

The reporter's WeChat circle of friends has also been very lively recently. Many real estate marketers forwarded the latest information of various property markets. Although these sources are different, the theme is clear-"the property market is picking up".

It is worth noting that the information such as "Nanjing social security threshold is lowered, releasing a large number of housing needs" and "Nanjing six plates break through the price limit" is the most eye-catching. Recently, when a reporter from the National Business Daily visited the Nanjing property market, it was found that the filing price of some properties was close to the regional price limit, and some houses even exceeded the regional price limit. Compared with the "frozen" market in the second half of last year, the Nanjing property market started "warm and harmonious" after the holiday.

Break through the price limit and reproduce the Japanese CD.

On February 18, Nanjing ushered in the first opening project after the Spring Festival. On the evening of the same day, the "Zhonghai Chengnan Mansion" project located in the south plate of Yuhuatai District, Nanjing officially opened. The reporter learned that the property launched 142 sets of hardcover rooms, and 536 groups of customers signed up, with a winning rate of 26%. Finally, in less than 1.5 hours, all the above 142 suites were sold out, becoming the first "Japanese CD" in Nanjing property market in 20 19.

The reporter noticed that the last time a "Japanese CD" appeared in the main city of Nanjing was two months ago. However, it is worth noting that compared with the "Japanese CD", the filing price of the above-mentioned real estate is intriguing.

When the reporter of "National Business Daily" visited as a property buyer, he found that the current price limit of first-hand commercial housing in Nanpan, where the above-mentioned real estate is located, is about 35,000 yuan/square meter. However, according to the information of official website of Nanjing Housing Security and Real Estate Bureau, the average filing price of four sets of multi-storey and small high-rise houses in the above real estate projects is between 36,037 yuan and 38,842 yuan/square meter. Although the filing price of some houses did not exceed the price limit of 35,000 yuan/square meter, most of them exceeded the price limit, and the highest unit price even reached 39,928 yuan/square meter.

However, due to the fine decoration of the above-mentioned houses, the filing price of decoration is about 3,500 yuan/square meter. Even if the decoration price factor is excluded, the average filing price of a building still exceeds the price limit of 35,000 yuan/square meter.

The property consultant of Zhonghai Chengnan Mansion does not deny that the price limit is loose. He told reporters: "The price limit has been liberalized."

For the reason of "liberalizing the price limit", "on the one hand, prices are rising, on the other hand, it is a good thing to bid, auction and hang land". The property consultant explained to the reporter: "Like there are several vacant lots around us, if the starting price is high and the housing price in this area is limited, then the developers will not take the land."

The reporter also saw in the marketing center of the project that the developer posted a note next to the sand table, saying, "The sales price of this opening is in line with the relevant regulations" and "The discount price on the opening day, the transaction price of most houses in the small high-rise floor is 33,000 yuan to 35,500 yuan/square meter, and the transaction price of most houses is 35,500 yuan to 38,000 yuan/square meter" and "Some houses are higher than the above range because of their superior location".

At the site of the Yuzhou Jiahuixing Island project, which is just one stop away from the above-mentioned real estate, a property consultant also told the reporter of China Business Daily: "Recently, the price limit policy has been relaxed, and many real estates have made breakthroughs. The regional price limit is 35,000 yuan/square meter, and both we and China Shipping have broken the price limit. "

However, it is worth noting that although the above two properties have exceeded the price limit, the reporter learned from the property consultant that the current projects have a discount of about 30%.

Although it broke through the price limit, the South Mansion of China Shipping was still "sunny" when it opened on the same day.

Does it mean that the regulation of the property market is liberalized?

"National Business Daily" reporter noted that in addition to the above-mentioned properties, some properties in Yuhuatai District have exceeded the price limit. In fact, since the second half of last year, the sales price of new houses in Nanjing has exceeded the regional price limit.

For example, the high-tech Weiziting/KLOC-0 of Xianlin Lake Plate obtained the sales license at the end of the year. The price of 96 flat villas delivered in hardcover was 37,495 yuan ~ 420 1 65,438 0 yuan/square meter, and the price of 5 garden villas delivered in rough was 43,748 yuan ~ 46,734 yuan/square meter, which broke the regional price limit of 30,000 yuan/square meter.

Another example is Vanke Anpin Garden in Qinhuai District, which obtained the sales license in August last year. The average selling price of 38 blank houses ranged from 54,273 yuan to 6 1.252 yuan/square meter, and the unit price of the most expensive house reached 6,2671yuan/square meter, which exceeded the regional price limit of 45,000 yuan/square meter.

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In addition, on February 15, Nanjing revised the "Implementation Measures for the Settlement of Points in Nanjing", especially adjusting the application condition of "continuous payment of social insurance in the past two years" to "accumulated payment of social insurance for urban employees for not less than 24 months" and canceling the restrictions on settlement indicators. This move is also considered to further lower the threshold for settlement.

Does it mean that Nanjing's real estate regulation and control is liberalized when a number of real estates break through the regional price limit and the threshold for talents to settle down is lowered? Will the property market pick up?

"Regulation will continue, but it will relax but it will not let go. The property market will pick up but not pick up, and the property market will enter a sideways era. " Ouyang Jie, senior vice president of Xincheng Holdings, told the National Business Daily that lowering the entry threshold, lowering social security conditions and lowering talent standards will increase market turnover. When the market goes down, policies such as relaxing high-end disk prices and lowering mortgage interest rates are pre-adjustment and fine-tuning of the counter-cyclical adjustment of the real estate market, which will promote the temperature recovery of the residential market.

However, Ouyang Jie also believes that "housing without speculation" is still a long-term orientation, and warming up does not mean warming up. Relaxation does not mean letting go, and regulation will not quit.

When the reporter visited the marketing center of Cheng Nan Mansion in Nanhai, he saw that although the registration for the first phase of the real estate project had been closed, people still came to see the house for consultation.

"At present, many surrounding areas are being demolished, and only our project is on sale." The above-mentioned property consultant told reporters: "The next product will be launched around August, and the specific price will be determined according to the market demand at that time."

Many property consultants of intermediary stores also told reporters: "There are more customers who come to the store for consultation and take a look after the holiday."

However, according to the data of Yiju Research Institute, the transaction area of commercial housing in Nanjing in June 5438+ 10 was 752,000 square meters, down 18% from the previous month and 32% from the same period last year.

"Breaking through the price limit, lowering the threshold for settlement, and pre-adjusting and fine-tuning the regulatory policies when the property market cools down does not mean that the regulatory policies will be liberalized in the short term." Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of Yiju Research Institute, told the National Business Daily reporter that the loosening of the price limit will also help alleviate the unstable factors caused by the "lower allocation" of developers due to cost pressure.

"In the case of a sluggish market, the price limit policies of some cities have been fine-tuned. Breaking through the price limit is only that the government gives the initiative to enterprises and the market, but whether the project can be sold in the end depends on whether the price and products can be accepted by the market. " Zhang Hongwei, research director of Tongce Consulting, also told reporters that it is expected that the market will continue its current downward trend in the next three to four quarters.

When the National Business Daily reporter consulted the Nanjing Citizen Hotline 12345, the other party also made it clear: "At present, the price limit of commercial housing has not been liberalized."

How to break through high land price projects

The National Business Daily reporter noted that the above-mentioned projects that broke through the price limit were either high-priced plots auctioned in the previous two years or positioned as high-end products.

For example, when the high-tech Tangziwei project in Xianlin Lake plate broke through the regional price limit, the developer Nanjing Hi-Tech Real Estate won the land of the project on1October 27th with a total price of 654.38+065438+004 million yuan, with a premium rate of 88% and a floor price of 2,654.38+00,000 yuan/m2, which was also the "land king" of Xianlin Lake at that time. According to the data, the land transfer area is 45,000 square meters, and the planned construction area is about 50,000 square meters.

Another example is Vanke Anpin Garden in Qinhuai District. Although it is not a "land king" project, it is positioned as a high-end villa product with a high threshold. The cheapest set costs more than 20 million yuan.

2065438+September 20th, 2007, the project of China Shipping South Mansion, which also broke through the regional price limit, was won by China Shipping Real Estate with a total price of 4.32 billion yuan and a premium rate of 27%. Although the premium rate is not high, existing homes need to be sold.

In addition, the current unit price "Diwang" Gezhouba Chinese House in Nanjing, located in the southwest plate of jianye district River, will be listed this year, and its future market performance has attracted much attention. It is reported that from 2065438 to May 2006, Gezhouba won the plot with a total price of 3.28 billion yuan, a premium rate of 1 10% and a floor price of about 45200 yuan/square meter, which set a new record for the "land king" of Nanjing, not only far exceeding 35000 yuan/square meter in the southwest part of the river where the plot is located.

"The price of our land acquisition is relatively high. Because of the price limit, the surrounding real estate prices are relatively low. At present, our price has not come out, and it will probably open in June and July. " The property consultant of Gezhouba China House told the reporter, "But our smallest apartment is 190 square meters, and the (selling price) should exceed100000 yuan."

In the context of market cooling, high land prices and high-end projects have been listed one after another. How can we break through?

"The Wang Di projects that housing enterprises have taken in the past two years are either shipped at low prices or continue to wait and see, waiting for the market to pick up." Yan Yuejin told the National Business Daily reporter, "For these Wang Di projects, some large and medium-sized developers with strong national layout and financial strength can smooth risks through the income of other projects; But some small developers may not be able to afford it and will face greater financial pressure. They need to consider equity transfer. On February 2 1 day, the National Development and Reform Commission issued "Guiding Opinions on Cultivating and Developing Modern Metropolitan Area" (hereinafter referred to as "Opinions"). The "Opinions" defined the main objectives. By 2022, the urbanization process of metropolitan area has made remarkable progress, the degree of infrastructure integration has been greatly improved, the administrative barriers and institutional obstacles that hinder the free flow of production factors have been basically eliminated, and the cost sharing and benefit sharing mechanisms have been improved, forming a number of steps with clear spatial structure, complementary urban functions, orderly flow of factors, coordinated industrial division of labor, smooth traffic, balanced public services and harmonious and livable environment. By 2035, the pattern of modern metropolitan area will be more mature, forming a number of metropolitan areas with global influence.

It is understood that urban agglomeration is the main form of new urbanization and an important platform for supporting national economic growth, promoting coordinated regional development and participating in international competition and cooperation. Metropolitan area is an urbanized spatial form with megacities or big cities with strong radiation-driven functions as the center and 1 hour commuting circle as the basic scope. In recent years, the construction of metropolitan area has shown a rapid development trend, but the problems such as low level of transportation integration between cities, insufficient division of labor and cooperation, serious low-level homogenization competition, and imperfect cooperative development system and mechanism are still outstanding.

To this end, the "Opinions" propose to liberalize and relax the restrictions on urban settlement except for a few megacities, take the lead in realizing the cumulative mutual recognition of the years of household registration in the same city in qualified metropolitan areas, accelerate the elimination of household registration barriers between urban and rural areas, and make overall plans to promote the citizenization of local population and foreign population, and promote the orderly flow, rational distribution and social integration of population. Promote the sharing of human resources information and the construction of public employment service platform.

In addition, it is necessary to build an integrated development mechanism of metropolitan area, accelerate the construction of mechanisms such as consultation and cooperation, planning and coordination, policy coordination and social participation in metropolitan area, and concentrate on promoting key tasks of metropolitan area construction. Among them, in strengthening the policy coordination mechanism, actively build a mutually beneficial tax sharing mechanism and a coordination mechanism for tax collection and management in metropolitan areas, and strengthen the coordination of preferential tax policies among cities. Encourage social capital to participate in the construction and operation of metropolitan areas. Allow the increase or decrease of urban and rural construction land in metropolitan areas to be linked to savings indicators for cross-regional adjustment. Improve the supply system of commercial housing in metropolitan area and strengthen the coordination of real estate market regulation policies between cities. Joint development. "

However, Yan Yuejin also believes that the current property market regulation policy is already very strict, the mortgage interest rate is also at a high level, the voice of policy peaking is getting louder and louder, and some urban policies have been fine-tuned. "The pressure on the Wang Di project may be reduced, but the product and price are still the key to the Wang Di project."

Zhang Hongwei also believes that products and prices are still the key to the breakthrough of high-priced projects. "Whether high-priced projects will be released because of loose price limits will ultimately depend on the big market situation and whether products and prices can be accepted by the market." Zhang Hongwei said.