If Zhang Wenhong's prediction comes true, will there be another Indian crisis or global disaster?

More than 300,000 new cases in 24 hours! The hospital is overcrowded, and two or three patients share a bed! There is a serious shortage of medical oxygen, and residents queue up all night to buy oxygen to extend their lives for their loved ones! The crematorium is overloaded, the bodies are burned by the roadside, and even the firewood is burned to a shortage! India, with a population of 65.438+0.3 billion, is out of control, just like purgatory on earth! In these days at the end of April, the epidemic situation in India continued to deteriorate. Since 23rd, there are more than 300,000 new cases of COVID-19 every day. In just three days, the number of infected people exceeded 6.5438+0 million.

The "tsunami-like" epidemic in India shocked India. Why is the Indian epidemic out of control? To what extent will the epidemic eventually develop? What should we do in the face of the Indian epidemic?

First, the reason why the Indian epidemic is out of control The Indian epidemic broke out by an order of magnitude in a short time. The main reasons are as follows:

(1) Relaxation of epidemic prevention measures Since March, with the alleviation of the global epidemic, the implementation of epidemic prevention and control measures such as wearing masks and keeping social distance in India has declined. The government and citizens misjudged the epidemic situation and were blindly optimistic, which led to lax epidemic prevention measures, which was the root cause of its sudden outbreak.

Many people in India don't have a scientific understanding of the epidemic, and some even take it for granted to "deal with" COVID-19: steaming virus, smearing cow dung on their bodies, and drinking cow urine to detoxify. ......

Without scientific understanding, it is impossible to reach an agreement on epidemic prevention and control and become a passive response task.

(II) Vaccination On the one hand, India has not independently developed vaccines, and all the vaccines currently used are purchased from the United Kingdom. India has a population of 654.38+03 billion, and there is no vaccine developed by itself, and the effect of vaccines bought from Britain is also unstable. There is even an embarrassing situation in which a doctor was sent to the intensive care unit in the afternoon just after vaccination in the morning.

Although India has a strong ability to imitate drugs, it is impossible to imitate them on a large scale because the export of raw materials for vaccine production is restricted by western countries.

In addition, India's work efficiency is very low. According to experts' calculations, it will take at least 12 years for India to complete universal vaccination! At that time, I didn't know how much COVID-19 had been updated!

(3) Large-scale Crowd Gathering in India The most direct reason for this outbreak is the large-scale crowd gathering!

From the end of March, 20021year, India ushered in the "cauldron festival" held every year 12.

Cauldron Festival is the largest religious gathering in the world and one of the festivals with the largest number of participants in the world. During the festival, more than one million Hindus came from all over the country to bathe at the confluence of Ganges and yamuna river. They firmly believe that bathing in the big pot festival can wash away evil and get happiness.

The cauldron festival usually lasts for more than a month, and the number of participants in recent times has exceeded 654.38+0 billion! During the festival, tens of thousands of people bathe in the Ganges, and some even drink Ganges water directly!

Although India has set up a cauldron festival management committee and distributed millions of masks to the people, it is only a formal prevention and control, and the real measures have not been put in place at all.

Indian media publicly reported on April 6th, 65438: 15 10 days from April 5th to April 5th, 68 high priests who presided over cauldron festival alone infected COVID-19! The cauldron festival is not over yet. Once it is over, people will return to all parts of the country, and the situation of diffusion and communication will be unimaginable!

Second, the development trend From the current situation, the epidemic situation in India is not very optimistic. If effective measures are not taken, the consequences may be unimaginable.

On the one hand, from the current situation, India's new cases in a single day are close to 400,000! Medical resources are about to run out, and medical equipment, especially feeding equipment, is seriously inadequate. Some people even queue up all night to buy oxygen cylinders at high prices. The death toll is increasing rapidly every day, and the crematorium is obviously not enough. In some places, cremation is even carried out directly on the roadside.

The epidemic is so serious that the Indian government must take the initiative. Such a passive response will only lead to a total collapse, and eventually there may be a terrible situation in which the country stops and collapses.

On the other hand, the international community will certainly not let the situation in India deteriorate and sit idly by. After all, in the era of globalization, countries are too closely linked. Once the whole country of India collapses, it will inevitably have a great impact on the world and even cause a disaster to the world.

Finally, the worst result is that the epidemic in India is out of control and spreads to the whole world. This situation is the most terrible, and no one wants to see this result.

Three. Crisis Response (1) India itself should attach great importance to epidemic prevention and control, and the situation varies from country to country. As your own government, you should first attach great importance to it. India urgently needs to immediately order the closure of cities in the Ganges region to prevent the epidemic from spreading throughout the country. In addition, it is urgent to increase the construction of isolated hospitals and the procurement of medical materials to ensure the working conditions of medical staff and the treatment conditions of patients.

In addition, strengthen publicity, strengthen the means of epidemic prevention and control, and implement measures. Wearing a mask, keeping a social distance and being isolated at home can all be used for careful reproduction.

(2) The United Nations should take some assistance actions. In view of the current situation in India, the United Nations needs to take some intervention measures. It is also necessary to provide some policy and technical guidance and allocate some emergency relief materials.

After all, if a big country with a population of over one billion collapses, the whole world will suffer with it. From the perspective of stabilizing the world security environment, it is reasonable for the United Nations to take the initiative to respond.

(3) Put down your dignity and ask for help from neighboring countries.

Observing around India, countries have done a good job in epidemic prevention and control and accumulated a lot of experience. The Indian is almost in do or die at this time, so don't carry it any more.

Mainly, to show kindness to neighboring countries, as long as it is conducive to domestic epidemic control, why not?

Regrettably, it seems that the Indian government has not really realized the seriousness of the problem. Even if a neighboring country offered to help, it still seemed unwilling to accept it!

To save face, Lizi seems to be losing!

(4) manage the country well and do your own thing well.

Although our domestic situation is stable and the economic recovery is accelerating, the epidemic situation in India is very serious, and we must not be sloppy and relaxed. If necessary, we can provide some humanitarian assistance, but at the same time, we must protect the country and prevent the virus from crossing the border.

We must take this out-of-control incident in India as a lesson, sum up experience, constantly improve our own epidemic prevention and control system, and strive to be more scientific and powerful!

Today, global epidemic prevention and control mainly depends on India, which has become the main battlefield of epidemic prevention and control. The future situation is very grim, and where this epidemic will eventually develop depends on India's own choice!