What are the main factors that affect market sentiment?

The influence of weather, people and news. The specific explanation is as follows:

1, day:

1) Seasonal factor: Everything is "spring grows in summer, autumn kills winter storage". Emotion is influenced by physiology and changes with the alternation of four seasons. The general rule is that from spring to summer, people's mood gradually increases with the increase of temperature, and from autumn to winter, people's mood gradually becomes cold with the decrease of temperature. There has been a pattern in China stock market for several years. From May to 10, it will be hot when the market is hot. 165438+ 10 to April, when the market is cold, it will be cold. This is also related to the ups and downs of people's physiology and emotions with the seasons.

2) Moon cycle: Except all seasons, the moon cycle has the most obvious influence on human physiology. The circulation of qi and blood in human body is also influenced by the movement of the moon, resulting in physiological changes with the month as the cycle.

3) Sunspot activity: Some people abroad have studied the long-term trend of the securities market and futures market, and found that many commodities have cycles of 1 1 year and 50 years. The activity cycle of 1 1 year may be related to sunspot activity. Sunspots erupt every 1 1 year, which is a major event in the solar system and will affect all material processes in the solar system. Reflected in the economy, at least the agricultural harvest will be affected, and then spread to other industries. It is understandable that people's physiology and psychology are affected accordingly and have periodic activities.

4) Zhouyi numerology: In ancient China, there was a method of divining people's fate or things, which was called numerology. Although its statistical validity has not been proved exactly, it can sometimes be surprisingly accurate only from the typical cases cited in the book. Today, some people applied the Zhouyi theory to the stock market, and it is said that some people were quite successful.

2, people and

1) The natural rhythm of emotions. People's emotions can infect each other, and people's optimism or panic can also infect each other in the market. When the market starts, there is always a small number of people who first see the dawn and start buying. As the market rises, people's optimism gradually spreads and heats up until it reaches saturation. There is a similar process of pessimism diffusion when the market falls.

2) Fibonacci sequence. Eliot's wave theory reveals the subtle law of the emotional dynamics of market groups. If the stock price is regarded as a sign of the emotional ups and downs of the participants, then the wave theory has a fairly accurate explanation of the process, amplitude and cycle of the emotional ups and downs of the participants from qualitative to quantitative.

3. The influence of news.

Stock market forecasting has always been divided into three aspects: fundamentals, technical aspects and news. Fundamentals mainly focus on the operating conditions of listed companies, and the conclusion of its analysis is relatively stable, which mainly affects the long-term trend of stocks. Therefore, the most important indicator for analyzing news is not whether the news is good or bad, but whether the news stimulates the market. To judge the effect of a news, we should comprehensively analyze it according to its excitement and the current situation of the market. The news is that the market effect is not simply determined by the news itself, but more often by the market state at that time, and the news only plays a stimulating role.