Polish experts predict that Russia will disintegrate within five years. Is it true or not?

In international politics, it is actually impossible to predict every specific thing, especially when the time span is as long as five years, because the processing and judgment of the information involved can not be completed by human beings at present. This judgment is not scientific, similar to the fortune teller on the street.

For the prediction of similar international relations, scientific methods can only predict one trend. After collecting and analyzing the national conditions of Russia before and now, we can make a general judgment on the future of Russia.

This prediction of Russia's disintegration in five years has no reference value. If this prediction is true, it will cause the adjustment of people's behavior and the distortion and invalidation of the information and data on which it is based as soon as it is released.

And even if it is only a trend forecast, it can't be judged by truth or falsehood, because this forecast is still a probability possibility and only has reference value. Does not mean that future events will develop according to this prediction. The prediction of all international problems has played an early warning role, prompting people to avoid future dangers and eventually making things better.