2022 Fortune Telling Feng Shui Variety _ Fortune Telling Variety

CITIC Lyon is also a fortune teller for the stock market! Self-mockery "spun" Hong Kong humor?

"Our annual Feng Shui guide combines the power of mysterious detective stars to predict the trend of our favorite chicken Hang Seng Index." 65438+ 10/2, CITIC Lyon once again presented a Feng Shui guide for the fate of Hong Kong stocks in the coming year, becoming the "Hong Kong humor" in the capital market. It is worth noting that CITIC Lyon said that the guide is not a research report.

CITIC CLSA's Feng Shui Guide appeared in the form of Lunar New Year greeting cards in 1992, which accompanied the Hong Kong stock market through the ups and downs of 3 1 year. On the blending of Chinese and western cultures and humor, this year's Feng Shui Guide is unique.

In 2022, CITIC Lyon was cautious about Hong Kong stocks, betting only on the rebound at the beginning of the year and the rebound at the end of the year.

In 2023, CITIC Lyon predicted that the Hang Seng Index would be stable at the beginning of the year, but there would be a short correction in March, and then it would resume its growth momentum until the end of summer. Good luck in May; There will be two declines from July to September, and the Hang Seng Index165438+1October will rebound in June, which will usher in a stable and leisurely winter.

It is predicted that the Hang Seng Index will pull back in March this year.

In terms of research methods, CITIC Lyons claimed that "the sword is biased". Citic Lyon said that 1969,165438+1the Hang Seng Index born on October 24th, the five elements belong to the soil, and the zodiac belongs to the chicken. It is expected that the Hang Seng Index will rise in the whole year, but it also hides fluctuations.

On a monthly basis, everything went well at the beginning of the year, but there will be a short correction in March, and then the growth momentum will resume until the end of summer; Good luck in May; There will be two declines from July to September, and the Hang Seng Index165438+1October will rebound in June, which will usher in a stable and leisurely winter.

"We predict that the Black Rabbit will run around at the beginning of the year and give it a try. It will go down at the end of summer and rebound at the end of the year. It will continue to be active throughout the winter and end with a slight increase. " CITIC Lyon forecast.

In terms of industry, CITIC Lyon believes that the fire protection industry is the most prosperous this year, including oil, natural gas, fashion and technology, and the high point appears in late spring. Similarly, the timber industry also has good luck, including medical care, education and planting, with high points in early spring, late autumn and winter. On the other hand, the real estate, architecture, tourism, hotels and transportation of the soil series are likely to be mediocre. Due to the shortage of gold again, finance and metal-based industries, such as battery manufacturing, will continue to be under pressure.

In the past three years.

Is the result of fortune telling reliable?

What is the forecast of CITIC Lyon Hong Kong stocks in the last three years?

In 2020, CITIC Lyon predicted that this year will be a good year for the Hang Seng Index, and it is expected that the first quarter of the new year will start well. Late spring and early summer may be patches, and other months have ups and downs. It is expected that there will be five inflection points in the Hang Seng Index this year, with the highest position appearing in the summer of August and the lowest position appearing from late March to early April. The target for Hong Kong stocks in 2020 is 29,600 points. But in fact, in 2020, the Hang Seng Index showed a U-shaped trend, and the highest point appeared in early 2020.

202 1 CITIC Lyon believes that the best performance time of HSI is summer and winter, and other times have their own profits and losses. However, since February, the Hang Seng Index has been falling all the way. There was neither a highlight moment in summer nor a strong rebound at the end of the year, and the downward trend of Hang Seng Index after the first quarter was not predicted. This prediction was "overturned" to some extent.

Citic Lyon is cautious about Hong Kong stocks in 2022. It believes that the Hang Seng Index rebounded in early 2022, and the "cold spring" in March and summer is the low point of the Hang Seng Index, and it is optimistic that the Hang Seng Index will rebound again at the end of the year. The trend at the beginning and end of 2022 is in line with the forecast of CITIC Lyon, but CITIC Lyon did not predict that the low point of Hang Seng Index last year was 10.

There are brokers.

"Feng Shui Research Report" was fined

Predicting the trend of capital market with "Five Elements of Feng Shui" is easy to become popular on the Internet. However, some brokers "Feng Shui Research Report" were punished by supervision.

At the end of 20021,a Feng Shui Research Report invested by Chen Nanpeng by Essence Securities was screened in the investment circle. This "research report" infers the hot topics in each month of 2022 through metaphysical theories such as heavenly stems and earthly branches and Jin Mu.

On March 1 1, 2022, Shenzhen Securities Regulatory Bureau issued a decision to take regulatory measures against Chen Nanpeng. According to the decision, after investigation, Invincible Benevolence-China Stock Market Forecast in 2022, which was produced by Chen Nanpeng and published on the company's WeChat group, was forwarded and disseminated, and its comments on the industry and market were not prudent. Stocks are classified by five elements, and investment suggestions are not reasonable.

Therefore, CITIC Lyon also specifically stated at the end of this Feng Shui Guide: "Please note that this guide is not a research report."

Regulatory authorities have always had clear requirements for research reports. As a professional and specialized report that puts forward investment analysis opinions on securities valuation and investment rating, objectivity, prudence and preciseness are its most fundamental requirements and attributes. The brokerage business department also needs to establish a quality control and compliance review mechanism to ensure that the published research reports meet the bottom line requirements of "compliance, objectivity, professionalism and prudence".

The Hong Kong stock market has always lacked "Feng Shui Master". The Feng Shui Guide published by CITIC Lyon is not a rigorous research and analysis, but more like a kind of "Hong Kong humor".