What is the name of fortune-telling high probability event _ Fortune-telling probability

Shang dynasty believed in divination so much that it never divined the fate of its own country?

Divination is more ceremonial and social than fortune telling, and the shadow of divination can often be seen in religion.

In primitive society, people didn't have a good understanding of the laws of nature, so they predicted what would happen in the future by artificial means. The art of divination has to be consulted by Zhou Wenwang, which is different from the image in TV series (he died a long time ago and then gave the protagonist a role). Historically, King Wen was once imprisoned in a prison that was cruel and ruthless for decades.

King Wen has nothing to do in his cell. When he saw the haystack where he slept, he made it into a figure with yarrow stalks. According to the theories of Yan Di Huangdi and Yi Yin, he also came into contact with Shennong's divination theory, and created Zhouyi in prison, which included everything. Of course, from a scientific point of view, it seems impossible. How do we predict the future?

Indeed, it is a good thing for the Zhou Dynasty to be able to control the future in this way. The person in charge of divination assumes that he predicted the demise of the Zhou Dynasty, and he can't record this kind of thing and pass it on to future generations for reference. Even if future generations see it, how likely is it to believe what the fortune teller "guessed" hundreds of years ago?

The divination of the Zhou Dynasty was to burn tortoise shells with red-hot metal, and then guess what would happen in the future according to the cracks on the tortoise shells. The kings of the Zhou Dynasty sometimes used divination to decide the national strategy. Is this credible? As a means of earning a living, the key is that the consultant believes what you say. When the parties do not want to accept this situation, they must be able to "cheat" them with past examples or fabricated facts in order to continue their own livelihood.

With the progress of science and technology, modern people have a more rational understanding of this wonderful theory. Even so, thousands of years of tradition will still leave a mark on our minds, and we will probably be afraid when we hear bad divination results.