How to treat Li Daxiao's prediction of the stock market?

In the earlier China stock market, there may be more stock recommendation experts than now, but with the management of CSRC and CBRC, it has become more perfect. Professional securities practitioners are not allowed to recommend stocks in public, so there have been so many stock recommenders and stock reviewers in history.

Under normal circumstances, the heat is only for a while, usually like a lantern, you sing and I debut. However, Li Daxiao is unique and has always stood among them.

Li Daxiao was born in the 1980s. He was a student of South China University of Technology at that time. It can be said that college students at that time were very powerful. Li Daxiao, an engineering background, was the earliest investor in A shares. He once became a financial celebrity because he owned the Shenzhen Stock Exchange 1 shareholder code and was called Li Daxiao, an investor of 1.

From 65438 to 0997, Li Daxiao entered Dongguan Securities and left after half a year. In 2008, Li Daxiao entered Ying Da Securities and became the director and chief economist of Ying Da Securities Research Institute. In February 2009, when the market was hovering around 2000 points, Li Daxiao issued a document "A-share market's ice-melting journey has started", arguing that "the foundation of A-share market stability has been formed" after 1664 points. For a long time after that, he was called "stock god" by many people. Internet celebrity economist, former director and chief economist of Ying Da Securities Research Institute.

Li Daxiao made ten predictions for the China stock market in 2020, as follows:

First, there will be an asset shortage in 2020;

Second, the stock market opportunities are greater than the bond market;

Third, a large number of delisting companies have emerged;

Fourth, the scale of refinancing has increased;

Fifth, the registration system has begun to take shape;

Sixth, a large number of foreign capital entered the market;

Seventh, domestic long-term funds enter the market;

Eighth, the proportion of major international indexes included in A shares has increased significantly;

Ninth, the polarization between good stocks and black five categories;

Tenth, the new shares are broken.

Today, 2020 has come to an end, and there are only two months left. Regarding the above ten-point forecast, the fifth, sixth and seventh items have basically been realized. The embryonic form of the registration system can be said to have been basically possessed; At present, compared with 20 19, foreign capital has indeed been blessed and entered the A-share market in large quantities; At the same time, because pension accounts can enter the stock market for investment, domestic long-term funds have also begun to enter the market.

But at the same time, we also realize that some investment forecasts in Li Daxiao have not been realized. Some are caused by realistic and objective factors, but some are problems predicted by him personally. Li Daxiao's predictions are never completely accurate. He himself once said that it is impossible to be completely accurate, which also shows that he is not a god.

The main reason why he is so popular is not how accurate his prediction is, but that he is good at talking. So you say he will be slapped by the market, but it is the same for other investors and stock recommenders.

Anyone's point of view can only be used as evidence and auxiliary reference in the actual investment process, and the final decision can only be made by himself, forming his own investment thinking mode and decision-making method, rather than following the trend.