The probability of the national football qualifying is only 0.88%. What is the probability of this 0.88%?

Every time the national football team is ridiculed that "there is not much time left for the national football team", however, the probability of qualifying for this World Cup has directly become 0.88%! This is the conclusion of foreign "WeGlobalFootball" through data calculation. Faced with this data, fans can't help but want to curse! This time, the national football team was in a desperate situation, which even made foreign media sigh directly: China football team needs a miracle to enter the World Cup!

The probability of passing is 0.88%. What is the situation facing the national football team? After China was defeated by Australia 0-3, foreign "WeGlobalFootball" made a simulation with data model, and calculated that the probability of China men's soccer qualifying was only 0.88%! Usually, we will say, "Even if there is only a 65,438+0% chance, we will try." The possibility of the result is not even 1%, which makes fans very angry.

In this first round, apart from China and Australia, Oman defeated Japan, a strong Asian team, with 1-0, while Vietnam lost to Saudi Arabia with 1-3. As a result, China scored the least goal difference in the scum group, ranking first in the group, and then playing against Japan, a strong Asian team, the outcome was almost certain.

WeGlobalFootball also gives other data. According to the qualifying rate of all 12 teams, China men's soccer team ranked 10,1,12 respectively, but the possibility of entering the play-offs was the lowest, and the possibility of being eliminated was 96.6%, almost to the point of losing.

On the other hand, although Japan unexpectedly lost the first game, it is still the favorite to win the championship, with a qualifying probability of 87%, and even the qualifying probability of the Vietnamese team is 1.8%.

The national football coach admitted that the team did not perform well. After the Australian game, head coach Li Tie admitted in an interview that the team's performance in the game was very poor, even very bad. He hopes that his players will show more courage in the face of powerful opponents, not timidity. It is difficult to complete this challenge without courage.

When it comes to the process of the game, Li Tie thinks that everyone's performance is not good. The Australian team has a good ball control foundation and a fast ball speed, which is far from the strength of the China team. Over time, it began to be pulled away by opponents. About 20 minutes after the opening, the Australian team began to master the ball, while China's defense was poor, so the players needed to adjust as soon as possible and try their best to play in the next game.

Regarding the Japanese team, Li Tie said that the next game against Japan is a good opportunity for the team to hone. Although the players are facing fatigue now, this is not a reason for not playing well.

The fans are heartbroken, but they still silently support the fans of China Men's Football Team. I believe that grief can describe the mood at this moment. The hope that was originally ignited can be said to have been extinguished by cold water at the moment. After all, the qualification probability of 0.88% is unacceptable to some extent.

However, fans are fans because they persist when the team is in a downturn. There are even fans who ridicule that "the probability of qualifying is obviously 50%, and it is still not qualifying!" It makes sense to think about it. The team you support is reborn. There is no reason not to cheer them up. Complaining and cursing can not bring substantial changes to the team, but may affect their play. After all, who doesn't want to play well and win glory for their country?

China's national football team still has a long way to go. What we have to do is silently cheer for them and welcome the future!