Why do more and more people predict that house prices will fall?

More and more people predict that house prices will fall, and they feel the same way, because house prices are too high now, which is beyond the affordability of most ordinary people. If house prices keep rising like this, it may be good for some practitioners, but it is also unacceptable for most ordinary people.

The average income of people in a region is three or four thousand yuan a month, and the house price in this region is also three or four thousand yuan, which means that one square meter of house can be bought with an average monthly salary, so people's life is promising. Because you work hard for one year, you can buy a house of 8 square meters, 10 years. As long as you work normally and maintain your average salary, as an ordinary person, you can buy a house of your own. If two people work together at home, you may be able to buy a house of your own in less than 10 years, and there is hope for such a life.

But now, taking Tianjin as an example, the minimum wage in Tianjin has been raised from 2050 to 2 180. This is the minimum wage, and our average wage is calculated at 5000 yuan. But if the average house price in Tianjin is 20,000 to 30,000, and you buy a house with 25,000, your actual usable area will reach 80 square meters to 100 square meters. You earn 5000 yuan a month. You can afford a square meter house without eating or drinking for half a year. Maybe you can buy a square meter house a year. Do you think there is any hope for such a life?

This is the case in Tianjin. The average house price can reach 40,000 to 50,000, but can the average salary of people reach 1000? It's hard. Although it is not a particularly worthwhile thing to go deep into the customs, it is really not something that ordinary people can do. What they can really do is about 30%. House prices must not be so high all the time, otherwise people's income level will gradually increase, the rate of increase will exceed the rate of increase of house prices, or prices will gradually drop from absolute value.