Fortune Telling Collection - Comprehensive fortune-telling - For retail investors, is it better to be short-term or long-term?

For retail investors, is it better to be short-term or long-term?

First of all, it depends on the overall environment of the market, such as the state of three gold forks in the K-line of the market, and then holding shares in the medium and long term, short-term high-throwing and low-sucking rolling operation!

When the market builds a staged top, leave the bottom position, see more and move less!

For petty bourgeoisie, it is definitely good to be short-term, because it is flexible and can fight against strong leading stocks! (But don't chase after the ups and downs, but take a step back and suck low! )

Whether doing short-term or long-term, it is suicide to avoid Man Cang's entry and exit and Man Cang's transactions.

I share the value investment. I hope everyone can think independently and learn real skills. I have been sharing the knowledge of stock trading with you. Welcome to study.

Medium-and long-term transactions will be better for retail investors.

Long-term as a value investment, short-term as a speculative transaction. Personally, I prefer value investment, which has the following advantages.

1, the main force does not exist in the daily small fluctuations of stocks, but only in the general trend. Therefore, we only need to judge the general trend of individual stocks, and it will be better to hold them firmly in the medium and long term than in the short term.

2. Stock compound interest is ideal. In operation, there are very few people who can buy the right one and sit down. Most retail investors are persistent about small fluctuations in stocks, which is fatal. No one can catch all the small fluctuations. The best way is to buy stocks for a long time until you think the bull market will end soon, and then leave.

3, stock operation is inseparable from patience, as long as the stock trend is still beneficial to themselves, or the technical system has no reversal signal of the stock, retail investors should have patience to hold it for a long time.

Generally speaking, the medium and long-term lines bring more benefits to retail investors, and the operation is more worry-free.

To answer this question, we must first have a clear definition of short-term and medium-long-term lines. Some people think that selling today and selling tomorrow is called short-term, while others think that buying for three days and selling again is called short-term trading. Similarly, the concept of medium and long lines is not unified and the boundaries are unclear.

Personally, I think that as a retail investor, stock trading may not be divided by the length, but by the purpose and nature of the transaction. This makes it clear that trading can be divided into two types, one is price speculation, which is similar to short-term trading. The second is value investment, which can also be called long-term trading.

You can answer the questions after the points are finished. Let's talk about price speculation first. This is a stock market operation method that makes use of the stock price changes brought about by market sentiment fluctuations to make profits. This operation should always keep an eye on price changes, have a keen ability to capture price changes, and have strict discipline requirements for trading. I don't think most retail investors have this ability, especially amateur investors.

Let's talk about value investment first. The most important trading method is stock selection. Since it is a value investment, it is necessary to choose stocks with investment value, stocks whose value is undervalued by the market, and then choose stocks of companies with future development potential. As for how to choose, this is not the question involved in this question and answer, so I won't say much here.

The biggest advantage of doing value investment is that you don't have to keep an eye on the market all the time, because the purpose of trading is not to obtain profits brought about by price changes. If you make a value investment and buy a stock, you can hold it for a long time, and leave the rest to time, which is both worry-free and time-saving. Of course, we can't completely ignore it. When the stock fundamentals of value investment change significantly, it is necessary to stop loss in time and change the investment target. In other words, the original shareholding is worthless, and the new one is valuable.

Ok, how do retail investors choose stock trading methods? I will simply say so much. Of course, this is only my personal suggestion. I have to make up my own mind how to operate it.

Hello, I'm brother Runxi who only tells the truth.

For retail investors, stock trading does not matter whether it is short-term or long-term. As long as it can make money, it is a good operation! So how can we make money in the complicated stock market? This involves the comprehensive ability of retail investors. Comprehensive ability includes technical analysis, trend judgment, mentality game and so on. You must be familiar with it to be invincible in the stock market.

Generally speaking, I think it is more reliable to do the middle line in Big A, and the short-term needs the cooperation of trends and superb trading techniques, while the long-term is wrong for the market itself, because the lack of liquidity and the reduction of liquidity also affect the prosperity of the stock market to a certain extent, so it is not a long-term solution.

To sum up, the uniqueness of the stock market midline, especially in China. In other words, follow the trend and make the band strong. At present, the trend of China stock market meets the needs of band making, and it is generally upward, with a large correction.

Avoid the big callback, grasp the big trend, and win a thousand miles!

Have you ever seen a magician, acrobat or tightrope walker? Are they professionals? The answer is obviously yes, so how many retail investors are professionals in the stock market? Since it's unprofessional, why not screw up acrobatics? Even the medium and long lines need high ability, let alone playing short lines. Whether it's live webcast or self-media, why do they play so well in the short term? The answer is, if they play for a long time, will anyone watch his live broadcast and self-media? All adults, think for yourself!

Characteristics of retail investors:

1, with little capital. Generally, the capital of retail investors is less than 1 10,000, and very few of them exceed 1 10,000;

2, the amount of information is small, retail investors have no information source channels, and generally rely on online news, but news is not called news when it arrives online, and there is no professional information collection and analysis team like the fund;

Retail investors generally have formal jobs. Few retail investors have full-time stock trading. They usually play after work and can't stare at the market all day.

4. Retail investors generally have poor skills. Compared with large funds such as funds, they have high-level technical analysis teams, and individual retail investors cannot compete with professional teams;

5. The individual cultivation of retail investors is not enough, the stock fluctuates greatly, and the psychology of retail investors will fluctuate accordingly;

Combining the above characteristics:

Retail investors are not suitable for short-term, and medium and long-term are definitely more beneficial to retail investors. Of course, if you choose the medium and long term, you must grasp the trend. If you can't grasp the trend, it's useless and a waste of time. Find the trend, buy it once, and uninstall the trading software to see it once after half a year; If the trend is uncertain, you can buy it in batches, each time it falls sharply, and uninstall the trading software after buying enough goods.

Of course, there are very few retail investors with high technical level and accurate grasp of the ups and downs. After 20cm, t+0 is like a duck to water. The income will definitely be much more than that in the medium and long term, and it is no exaggeration to earn 5 times or even 10 times a year. For these people, there is no bull market, as long as it fluctuates greatly every day, it is best to go up and down several times a day, so that you can buy and sell several times a day, and it may double in a week or two. For these people, bulls and bears can leave the market every day, and the roaming cycle is enough.

For most retail investors, they can only grasp the trend and hold it for a long time. At present, below 3000 points is a good opportunity to enter the market.

The stock market has plummeted in the past two days. Of course, many people are becoming smart again. Some people say that there are too many things ahead, and some people say that Sichuan has established the country and engaged in things. In any case, the fact is that it has plummeted again, and my stock has also fallen a lot. There is still a great possibility of further decline in the future. I am in a bad mood, too. But after the depression, I still chose calm. Along the way in recent years, the mentality has gradually improved, and it is not surprising that there are ups and downs. A sharp callback will be uncomfortable and depressed, but if you stick to it, there will be surprises waiting behind.

Looking back at 20 18 1, when writing the article, Pien Tze Huang and Wuliangye were only tens of dollars. It's only been two years, and both of them have touched 200. These days, the market has pulled back, and these two have also fallen sharply. I was advised to lighten my position last week, and I was indifferent. Of course, I fell, and it's wise after the event. Sure, I know I'll call back. Will there be a callback at that time? It's not very reliable. But one thing I am sure of is that even if there is a callback, even if there is a callback of 30 points or 50 points, it will slowly rebound to a new high in less than a year and a half. In the stock market, how much it goes up, how much it goes down, whether it will pull back or not, and whether it will rebound is the same probability as tossing a coin. There is only one certainty, that is, with the company's profit, the stock price will continue to rise. What we have to do is to choose a good company with strong profitability, and then hold on tight and wait and see. The rest, whether it is the macroeconomic crisis or the market has not risen for ten years, all we have to do is hold shares, then play music and dance.

I think many people have an investment misunderstanding, that is, they pay attention to the international economic situation every day and worry about macro fundamentals and market trends. These are all traps, which are easy to prove. In the financial crisis in 2007, the stock market reached 6000 points, and now the stock market is 3000 points. The economic situation is worse now than during the financial crisis, but the stock market has only reached its original waist. Not to mention the market, it was 3,000 points ten years ago, and it is still 3,000 points now, but in Kweichow Moutai, dozens of pieces have risen to almost 2,000. So to sum up, it is the company behind the stock you buy that decides your stock trading, not the macro or the market. As long as the company's performance can maintain steady growth, the stock price will definitely rise, but the stock price is sometimes overvalued and sometimes undervalued. However, the valuation can only be regarded as an image at a point in time. It was overvalued ten years ago, and now the share price has doubled, but the profitability has increased even more, and the valuation may be underestimated.

Shan Bin, a private equity fund manager, has a sentence that I think is very good: the rose of time. It's true. A company can't achieve much if it wants to develop for three days and five days and two years a year. Rome was not built in a day. It took at least 20 years to develop. Looking at Huawei, it didn't take three days to reach the current market scale and research and development capabilities. Therefore, choose a good company, grow together, share profits with the growth of the company, and get dividends and stock prices. Macro and market are a trap. Once you fall into it, you can't focus on the development of the company behind the stock, and you can't see the essence of investment.

I asked a friend to buy Pien Tze Huang 50, which rose to over 60 and over 70, and they were all sold out. At that time, it was always emphasized that you should buy it and throw it away. It doesn't matter, take a long line. In recent days, Pien Tze Huang has plummeted, and I just remembered that when I asked my friends, all the 60 s and 70 s were sold out. The performance of a good company grows steadily, and the intrinsic value of the shares held by shareholders is also increasing, but many people always care about the rise and fall of the stock price, and finally lose a forest for the harvest of a tree.

Today, the market plummeted, and I was in a bad mood. The stock has dropped five or six points, but I believe that after two or three years, looking back at Wuliangye, it may have been in 400 yuan. Many people say that taking a long line, what is a long line, is to get stuck, and if you don't return for a few years, you won't sell it. This is not a long line; Sell when it goes up, buy when it goes down, buy every year, and sell every year. This is not a long term. A good company, with core competitiveness and stable performance, makes money for shareholders and then chooses to grow with this company. This is called long-term.

For most retail investors, the medium and long term is good. There is no doubt about it.

For a few people who are particularly energetic and willing to learn, it is good to do short-term work.

Why do you say that?

Not everyone can meet the requirements of doing short-term work.

1. Enough energy is needed in the short term. Short-term needs to be marked, because the short-term overall goal is relatively small, and short-term big fluctuations should be grasped at any time. It is impossible not to stare at the disk.

2. We need to strengthen our study in the short term. In the short term, we should learn technical analysis and fundamental analysis, and understand daily news and political hot spots.

3. A short-term profit and loss line should be set. Short-term generally more than 5% consider taking profit, more than 3% consider stop loss. Or 10% considers take profit and 7% considers stop loss. And it is strictly enforced every time. This kind of fluctuation is too easy to achieve and requires iron discipline. This is a great test of people's patience and endurance.

The long line is different. Just make the following long-term preparations.

1. Understand the fundamentals of the company. It's a good company and has a good future development prospect.

2. Buy many times on dips in batches and hold them for a long time. After strengthening your point of view, you can consider buying in moderation as long as you adjust it, and then hold it for a long time no matter how it fluctuates, without staring. Take at least one year to see if your investment is correct.

Buy a good stock and hold it for a long time. A high-quality listed company will help you make money. So relatively speaking, it doesn't take much time and energy to do long-term work, which is more suitable for retail investors.

In terms of stability, long-term operation is better than short-term operation. There are three reasons for this:

First, the short-term operation error rate is extremely high.

Short-term, intra-day operation, generally refers to time-sharing chart or ultra-short period, such as 1 minute, 3 minutes, 5 minutes and other short periods; Because the cycle is short and the market fluctuates quickly, if you don't understand technical analysis or look at some conventional technical indicators, there will be lag characteristics (most indicators are designed by using statistical principles and form a trend after the price rises and falls), so it is difficult to stabilize according to conventional indicators in this case;

Second, the short-term trend is not as stable as the long-term trend.

In the market, the most important point of profit is the trend of the market. From the cycle point of view, the frequency of short-term fluctuations in the market is relatively fast, and the trend is difficult to stabilize, especially in the volatile market. Therefore, the trend of large cycle is more stable than that of short cycle.

Judging from the operation results, the probability and space of profit according to the trend of large cycle will be much larger than that of short cycle. Of course, according to the trend of the big cycle, we need to challenge human weaknesses outside technology, such as courage and execution.

Third, why is long-term operation better than short-term operation?

Judging from the division of investors in the market, investors are mainly divided into speculators and hedging traders; Among them, speculators refer to short-term trading, earning market profits through game spreads, so speculators are also the group with the biggest losses in the market, because they are keen on short-term returns and short-term profits, but they can't see clearly whether they have the ability to do short-term trading. Short-term trading not only needs to be optimistic about the buying and selling points, but also needs excellent execution, otherwise it will be difficult to make a profit. Hedging trading is technically based on the trend of the big cycle. As long as the trend of the market has not changed, it will be more profitable for the market to play small and broad games, so hedging traders are often the most profitable and stable traders in the market;

The above is my answer, hoping to help the landlord;

Short-term should know the corresponding operation skills of short-term. In addition, quick response is cruel to yourself.

As far as I can see, most people have no short-term operation skills. Otherwise, short-term will not become long-term, and long-term will become dedication.

How to use short-term stock selection, how to determine trading points and how to manage funds. Many of these problems are still unclear to retail investors.

Being cruel to short-term work is cruel to yourself. Be cruel to others. When you find that the short-term situation is not good, cut off hundreds of thousands of shares once and for all. This spirit of a strong man's broken arm must not be an ordinary retail investor. Stop loss and cut meat need to keep the face unchanged, which is the basic quality of doing short-term work.

The center line is actually a large frequency band. Higher technical requirements, deeper understanding of fund management and risk control. Small retail investors in the short-term band are also not smooth, not to mention the top and top of the medium-term band. It is impossible to predict the head and bottom of the stock market. It's easy to buy when it's down and sell when it's up.

If you want to choose stocks for a long time, you should at least be able to see the financial statements. Few small retail investors can read financial statements and analyze industry trends. It is even more difficult for leeks to evaluate stocks.

Little leek can do nothing. It's mistress herself. Most small companies think that the stock market is gambling, and it is easy to make money by trading stocks. They don't like studying and thinking. In this state, how to make money by speculating in high-risk markets?

How do small retail investors in China stock market make money?

There's only one way. That is to learn techniques and summarize methods. Just like some investors, they lose money every day and don't like learning. Scold professionals on the internet every day, technical analysis is useless. It's not good to just think of others as an afterthought. New shareholders are prone to make mistakes. After the stock price rose, they rushed to sell and watched it rise. The way to prevent this kind of mistake is training. As the saying goes, "buy silver and sell gold". If you buy a good stock and don't choose the time node for selling, it will bring a lot of regrets to stock investment.