How to predict the result of a football match?

Target interest rate forecasting method.

It is a mathematical model to predict the performance of a team in the next game with the average goal rate in each game. In western countries, the large-scale gambling industry has a history of more than 200 years, and there have been many methods to predict the game results based on strict mathematical statistics.

Three authoritative prediction methods are widely used to predict the results of football matches. Some experts even claim that almost all the gambling companies in Europe have established mathematical models based on these three forecasting methods, thus determining what initial odds the companies will offer before the football match.

The target interest rate forecasting method has four principles:

1. When the difference between the average scoring rates of the two players is greater than 0.30 (excluding 0.30), the one with the higher average scoring rate wins.

2. When the difference between the average scoring rates of two people is above 0. 10 to 0.30 (inclusive), if the average scoring rate of the home team is high, the home team wins.

3. When the difference between the average scoring rates of the two teams is above 0. 10 to 0.30 (inclusive), if the average scoring rate of the home team is lower than that of the away team, the home team wins or draws.

4. When the difference between the average scoring rates of the two teams is below 0. 10 (including 0. 10), the home team wins or draws.