Is the ancient divination prediction really that accurate?

It is difficult to accurately evaluate ancient things, even with the help of archaeologists, it is difficult to completely restore them. So we can only simulate reasoning from the current situation.

Predicting tricks is actually a model, which is neither feudal superstition nor immortal law. In layman's terms, it is a theory. We all have a lot of questions, especially about our own life, the good or bad of life, so we are eager to have a way to predict. Under such demand, divination prediction came into being. But no one can really say that it is completely predictable. (If you can, that would be amazing. )

At this time of our ancestors, we can think that our brains are open, and we have created many methods, and then we can use these methods to guide our lives. As we can imagine, these methods must be verified by a lot of practice. The ancients attached great importance to divination. On the one hand, the ancient people's understanding of nature or the level of science and technology is far less than now. On the other hand, divination inevitably brought benefits to the ancients. Otherwise, by now, thousands of years, it would have been eliminated.

According to this reasoning, divination is accurate. But this is a theory, and since it is a theory, it needs to be studied before it can be used. If research is needed, there are bound to be people with high understanding and people with low understanding. Therefore, there are masters who are proficient in divination and ordinary charlatans in history. These masters are gradually deified because of their accurate inference, while ordinary liars are reviled by people. Over time, it has become us today.

So back to now, we think so. The model that has been passed down so far is reasonable and accurate, but it is not necessarily perfect and completely accurate. In addition, when we study, we specialize in technical fields, which may not be proficient, so the accuracy will be greatly reduced. Only a proficient master can have magical and accurate effects. So the forecasting method is indeed accurate, but it is hard to say that the forecasters are uneven.

As for the situation of the ancients, according to our current reasoning, the same is true. Another point that needs special attention is that we often have the habit of looking for experts to predict. If the master's prediction is accurate, we will be easily amazed and amazed, and then tell people around me what I did last time and how the master did it. This reputation will soon spread. But if it is not accurate, we usually say, no, don't come next time. But we generally don't publicize how a master is not allowed. Therefore, divination is often good and easy to spread, and bad is often local. Inferred from this situation, what the ancients said will be discounted if it is fulfilled with the help of God. This is like saying that the ancients said that who sleeps 100% is accurate, but the actual result is far from it.