When will the epidemic end?

According to COVID-19's mathematical model, the COVID-19 epidemic will end around 2025. According to the current development of COVID-19, this prediction is likely to come true.

Just look at the report. Teacher Zhang Wenhong also said that COVID-19 has entered a stable period. At present, the death rate of the virus has been greatly reduced, but the spread speed is still very fast. When the spread speed of the virus drops, the virus is a spent force.

Zhong Nanshan: If all countries can respond to the call of WHO and intervene at the national level, and all countries can mobilize, the COVID-19 epidemic is expected to end in June. But this is based on the assessment made by countries that have taken positive measures.

If some countries do not take the harmfulness and infectivity seriously and make strong predictions, the epidemic may be prolonged. Although coronavirus is relatively inactive in hot summer, the epidemic lasts for one or two months, which will have a great impact on the national economy.

The mortality rate abroad is 3.2%, which is already very high, a bit like the early situation in Wuhan, Hubei Province, indicating that the vigilance of local doctors and ordinary people has not been improved.

At present, the problem of epidemic prevention and control is imported cases. Judging from imported cases, they often don't mean that they have many symptoms and may not have a fever. Now we know that we should pay attention to strengthening the control of these imported patients and strengthen communication at home and abroad.

It is impossible to develop a specific drug within two months.

It is impossible to develop specific drugs and special treatments within two months, but effective measures can be taken to prevent the spread and deterioration of the epidemic.

Patients with recurrent infections have little chance of being cured.

The cure of COVID-19's disease patients must meet many conditions, including negative nucleic acid test. From the point of view of virus infection, these patients themselves have produced IgG antibodies, which have a strong comprehensive killing effect on COVID-19.

For most people, the probability of repeated infection is very small, unless it is very few, it is not good at all and the immune function is extremely poor. This situation cannot be ruled out. At present, no close contacts of "relapse" patients have been infected. know

The isolation period after the patient was cured was 14 days. You can check it again, or do antibody testing. If the antibody is high, you should rest assured, but you should observe it deeply. Whether "Fuyang" patients need to go back to the ward needs specific analysis.