Astronomical fortune-telling book _ astronomical fortune-telling book recommendation

Superstition in inferring people's luck and fate. Usually according to people's facial features, skin color, bones, fingerprints, etc. Their longevity, prosperity, decline, good or bad luck are inferred. Because of its appearance, it is also called physiognomy. Incomplete picture books have appeared in the Spring and Autumn Period in China. Since the Han Dynasty, physiognomy has become a science with its unique theoretical system. At the same time, some physiognomy books and physiognomists specializing in physiognomy appeared, and physiognomy began to pay attention to physiognomy. The important picture book in Tang Dynasty is Dunhuang Book, which consists of 9 volumes and 35 articles. People believe that all parts of the human body can be photographed. The content has also developed from serving a few people for promotion and wealth to begging for children, wives and fields. , and has penetrated into people's daily lives. In the Song Dynasty, physiognomy reached its peak, and a complete photo album "Horse Doctor's Physiognomy" appeared. Its main content is to look at the five senses, and the author is said to be a Taoist in Mayi. Ma Yi Xiang Fa collected the essence of physiognomy before the Song Dynasty, established a relatively complete system, created the application field of China's physiognomy, and made it widely spread in the ruling and opposition. There was a photo album "Liu Zhuang Xiang Fa" in the Ming Dynasty. The author Yuanxun traveled all his life and studied with a strange monk. He can infer people's quality by listening to their voices and observing their faces. The works of physiognomy in Qing dynasty are all interpretations, adaptations or revisions of old books of physiognomy, and there is no great development. As physiognomy was ignored by the ruling class and became a pure dead end, physiognomy gradually declined.

Optometry and information analysis:

In the eyes of ordinary people, physiognomy is almost fortune-telling. Fortune-telling is superstition and information analysis is science. The two are probably incompatible. From the first day of contact physiognomy theory, I was shocked by the scientific nature of its method. Sensory physiognomy, an ancient and mysterious culture, contains many contents that help us understand information analysis.

The theoretical system of fortune-telling can be divided into two parts according to methodology:

1, random type. Representatives of this fortune-telling method include divination, fortune-telling, poker fortune-telling and so on. The characteristic of random fortune telling is that the results cannot be repeated. The same person may get two different fortune tellers, but his "fate" is only one. Therefore, although there are many absurd and incredible legends about random fortune telling, modern science cannot explain its mechanism. If it is not superstition, at least it has nothing to do with science.

2. Feature type. The representatives of this fortune-telling method are zodiac, constellation, physiognomy, physiognomy and so on. The results of characteristic fortune-telling can be repeated, because the human characteristics are relatively fixed, so as long as the theoretical basis of fortune tellers is the same, the fortune-telling results of a person should be the same, because different fortune tellers and fortune-telling times will lead to completely different views. Whether fortune-telling is accurate or not, this method can be explained by modern science, that is, predicting people's future according to their characteristics.

The information analysis principle related to fortune-telling can only exist in the characteristic fortune-telling theory. Therefore, this paper can't talk about the principle of information analysis in fortune telling in general, but can only study the principle of information analysis in fortune telling. At present, I can think of the following related contents:

First, based on the methodology of probability theory.

Generally speaking, the theory of physiognomy should be based on induction, that is, observing the fate of a large number of people, finding the probability relationship between fate and a certain feature, and then establishing the theory. For example, various palm reading theories generally regard a main line around the thumb as a lifeline, and think that the longer the lifeline, the longer the life. As we can imagine, the ancient fortune teller established the theory by induction and read the palm of the deceased, and found that this line is most closely related to life. The longer the line, the longer the life, so it is called the lifeline. In the thousands of years after the establishment of this theory, fortune tellers have been testing this theory and all of them have recognized it. Is it possible that the longer the lifeline, the longer the life span will be less than 50% in all people? Think it's impossible. If the lifeline is longer, the life will be longer, and the probability is less than 50%, which has long been called "short-lived line" by fortuneteller.

The further question is: What is the probability? According to my experiments and reasoning, it will not exceed 90%. Generally speaking, if the accuracy of this method can reach 90%, it will meet the requirements of scientific prediction of social problems. In other words, physiognomy became science. But in fact, physiognomy has not entered the hall of science, so its correct probability will not be too high.

In information analysis, the success of various methods also has a certain probability. Perhaps this probability is slightly higher than physiognomy, but a large number of examples show that it is difficult for them to reach more than 90% probability.

Secondly, the complexity of the object determines the correct application of the method.

It is difficult for physiognomy to achieve higher accuracy, partly because of the complexity of its research object. In ancient times, all kinds of people tried to make predictions based on certain characteristics. For example, some people observe the stars to make predictions, tell us what kind of stars are suitable for doing, or people will die if a meteor falls. Such people who observe stars, we now call them ancient astronomers. Others observe the landscape and make predictions, telling us where to build what houses, where to bury people and so on. We now call them Mr. Feng Shui. There are also people who observe human characteristics, which we now call wizards and gods. In fact, in ancient times, the methodology and theoretical viewpoints of these three kinds of people were exactly the same, but the law of starry sky was simple, followed by the law of mountains and rivers, and the law of life was the most complicated and difficult to predict, which made modern people have completely different views on them.

The correctness of information analysis is also restricted by the complexity of the object. If the selected object is too complicated, modern science can't reach the realm of correct explanation and get the correct conclusion; Of course, if the selected object is too simple for most people to see at a glance, it will lose the meaning of analysis.

When choosing a topic or analyzing information sources, we must seriously consider its complexity. It is best to choose objects similar to celestial movements for analysis, and never choose objects similar to human destiny for analysis.

Third, the dialectical relationship between quantitative characteristics and analytical ability.

For the same object, according to the different number of observed features, different feature facies methods can be selected. Some features are few and simple, such as the zodiac, and the analysis method is simple and easy to master. However, fewer features will inevitably lead to more errors. Zodiac has only 12 variables, but life is far more than 12 fate. So the roughness of this method can be imagined.

So, the more variables the better? Many variables are really convenient for us to understand things, but they also require more people's analytical ability. If people's analytical ability can't keep up, more variables will lead to a decline in the accuracy of prediction. There is an experiment: an experimenter selects a group of horses in previous races, each horse selects 100 characteristic indicators, and the horse gambler selects 5 from 100 characteristic indicators, and then makes a prediction according to these 5 characteristics. Later, 10 features, 20 features and 40 features were selected for prediction. The change of prediction accuracy is that when 10 is selected, gamblers do improve the prediction accuracy because of the increase of information, but when it is increased to 20, the accuracy will no longer rise, and even decline when it is increased to 40. This is because people's ability to analyze information is limited, and too much information will reduce the accuracy of prediction.

It is often said that ancient masters can accurately see faces, and there are also some national physiognomists who can accurately see faces, but now no such people can accurately see faces. In fact, ancient fortune tellers were the most outstanding figures of that era, people with superior IQ were telling fortune, and some ethnic groups were also wise men of their nation. However, most of us can't go to college or even support our friends by our own wisdom. They lack the necessary intellectual ability of intelligence analysis, so inaccuracy is inevitable.

Modern people like reading palms. Generally speaking, palm reading has four main lines (China's life, career, love and wisdom, the lifeline of the west, fate line, heart line and brain line) and 20 auxiliary lines. The length, clarity, bifurcation, crossing and truncation of each line are all characteristics, with more variables than the zodiac, but far less than the five senses. Not the best person in this era, it is difficult to have the ability to analyze facial feature information.

Fourth, pay attention to information feedback.

Feedback information is of great value for information analysis. In the actual information analysis process, analysts often tentatively tell users some analysis results after getting the preliminary results, so as to get feedback information and help improve the accuracy of the analysis. Ancient physiognomy theory paid more attention to feedback. In the aspect theory, the proportion of "aspect" of eyes is 30% (that is, "eye aspect is three points", and the rest are three points of sky, three points of ground angle and one point of ear, nose and mouth). The fortune teller looks into the eyes of the object and constantly gets feedback from this "window of the soul". Take palm reading as an example. After reading the palm, the palm reader holds the hand of the object and looks into the eyes of the object to speak. Start with the most sure lifeline. Once we know that the lifeline is wrong from the feedback information, we will start to consider the value of the auxiliary line and adjust the whole forecasting system.

Some people may question: What about the blind? Although the eyes of the blind can't work, other senses are beyond the reach of ordinary people. They can get feedback from the subjects' breathing, heartbeat and pulse.

Fifth, the value orientation of fortune telling.

There are many differences in the concept of physiognomy between China and the West, many of which reflect cultural differences. Take the palm print as an example. China's palm print is qualitative, and the position of lines does not correspond to the concreteness of life. In the west, quantification is emphasized, starting from the high point near the thumb of the palm (or the midpoint of the line), and the intersection of the radiation line and each line is the time point of life, totaling 10 years old, 20 years old, 30 years old, 40 years old (radiating to the index finger, middle finger and ring finger), 50 years old, 60 years old, 80 years old and 65438 years old. There are also some cultural differences. But the most interesting difference is that China's physiognomy theory focuses on "fortune telling", which is inherent in objects and cannot be changed. Even if you want to change, you need some special actions (such as taking refuge somewhere or burning incense). Western physiognomy is a kind of "consultation". If he tells you that there is a disaster at a certain time, he just tells you that there is a greater possibility of disaster at this time, or that it is greater than other times. If you have nothing to do, you should avoid disasters during this period, such as going out less and not taking part in dangerous activities. He tells you that you are sick at some time, so you should pay attention to your health at this time.

For example, take the line of destiny/career as an example. Both China and the West regard the line corresponding to the middle finger as the reference line of a person's life achievement. In China's physiognomy, if you lack a career line, the physiognomist tells you that you will accomplish nothing; Western physiognomy theory says that you will have to work harder than others to succeed, although it is difficult.

Western decision makers entrust information analysis projects, and also regard their results as consulting results, which are referenced but not superstitious. However, the decision-makers in our country often completely believe or distrust the analysis results, and do not regard it as a kind of consultation or a kind of serious information in decision-making.