Fortune Telling Collection - Comprehensive fortune-telling - Can you prove the authenticity of the constellation with big data?
Can you prove the authenticity of the constellation with big data?
Explain the Barnum effect, that is, it is easy for people to believe a general description of personality. Even if this description is empty, I still think it reflects my character, even if I am not such a person at all.
The experiment about Barnum effect is very interesting. This is one of them.
1948 gave a student such a personality test, and then analyzed it according to the test. After the test, students rate the fit between the test results and their own characteristics, with 0 being the lowest and 5 being the highest. However, in fact, everyone's evaluation is the same, as follows:
You pray to be loved by others, but you find fault with yourself. Although there are some defects in personality, on the whole, you can make up for them. You have considerable untapped potential, but you haven't developed your advantages yet. The seemingly tough, strict and self-disciplined appearance hides inner anxiety and uneasiness. Many times, you will seriously question whether you have done the right thing and made the right decision. You like a certain degree of change, but you feel dissatisfied when you are limited. You are proud of being an independent thinker and will not accept statements without sufficient evidence. But you think it is unwise to be too frank with others. Sometimes you are outgoing, friendly and full of sociality, and sometimes you are introverted, cautious and silent. Some of your ambitions are unrealistic.
It is such a generalization and general description of personality, and finally the average fit of people actually reached 4.26 points.
After reading this experiment, are you more disillusioned with constellation theory? Take my personal experience as an example. There was a time when I still believed in horoscopes. Just a few years ago, I always thought I was Capricorn. After reading some theories about constellations, I also have my own feelings and I am amazed at the theory of constellations. However, by chance, I learned that watching constellations is not about the lunar calendar, but about the solar calendar. So, I became an Aquarius! Then I was surprised to find that I also think the constellation description of Aquarius is very consistent with me!
It was also from this time that I shook the constellation theory, and then I really went to search and investigate its authenticity.
Of course, if you still don't believe me, you can poke the link:
/archives/volume 34/got 034263 . html?
You let big data theory prove a false conclusion, how to prove it can't be proved at all. Moreover, it is particularly important to note that big data is just a tool. Don't deify it. You think he can do anything. Big data still has its limitations.
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