Real estate future constellation analysis _ real estate future constellation analysis chart

How to analyze the future development trend of real estate?

1, the market capacity can be expected in the next 10 year. Many experts and scholars have talked about this issue before. From these dimensions, we can see that the total real estate market is stable and will continue to increase slightly year by year. It is expected to reach at least 18 to 20 trillion in 2030.

2. Growth characteristics: the future increment mainly comes from price drive. Industry growth has shifted from the contribution of sales area growth to the contribution of price growth, and the demand for improvement will increase year by year. It is estimated that the proportion of improved demand will increase to more than 50% by 2030, so product strength and service strength will become the focus of attention.

3. Industry structure: from large-scale competition to differentiated competition. On the one hand, market concentration has been further improved. We predict that the pre-industry market concentration of 10 will increase to 35-40% in 2025, reaching the level of market concentration in developed economies. On the other hand, the growth rate of head enterprises will slow down. At present, under the influence of policies such as "three red lines" and "two centralized land supply", we predict that the overall scale growth rate of head housing enterprises will remain at a reasonable space of 5 5- 10/5% in the next 5-/0.

The Historical Stage of China Real Estate

At present, China real estate has reached the stage of structural transformation.

Real estate is entering a new stage. It played a very important role in promoting China's economy before, but now and in the future, it can't be ignored to promote China's economy.

At present, the biggest problem of real estate, especially the problem of head housing enterprises, is that housing enterprises have too high debts. The reason why the debts of housing enterprises are so high is mainly related to the history of real estate and the urban development of China. Previously, real estate development can be roughly divided into two driving forces: rural and urban, in which the rural driving force is mainly manifested in the rural population entering the city. The driving force of the city is the emergence of commercial housing developers, and a large number of market demands are constantly emerging, such as housing reform, shed reform, old district transformation, living improvement and so on.